Cairns Marlins vs South West Metro Pirates: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Australian NBL1 North Cairns Marlins - South West Metro Pirates
Result
98:85
21/06/2024 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins - South West Metro Pirates - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Cairns Marlins
55.4%
South West Metro Pirates
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 38.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cairns Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cairns Marlins's form might have worsened.
  • South West Metro Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South West Metro Pirates's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Marlins than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cairns Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South West Metro Pirates than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South West Metro Pirates, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cairns Marlins - South West Metro Pirates Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.51)

    2.09
    (2.4)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 179.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Cairns Marlins - South West Metro Pirates?
  • Users Predictions: South West Metro Pirates will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cairns is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches South West Metro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Cairns will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Cairns won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 164-168.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cairns won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 90-93.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cairns Marlins - South West Metro Pirates were as follows:
    23.04.2023 South West Metro Pirates - Cairns Marlins 75:74
    Latest results of Cairns Marlins
    Australian NBL1 North Table
    2025
    PlWLPCT
    1Brisbane Capitals761674:5940.857
    2Sunshine Coast Phoenix862723:6500.750
    3Mackay Meteors752697:6750.714
    4Logan Thunder844781:7510.500
    5Townsville Heat844717:6940.500
    6Northside Wizards844686:6810.500
    7Ipswich Force844721:7420.500
    8Gold Coast Rollers734680:6750.429
    9Rockhampton Rockets835746:7580.375
    10Southern District835758:7960.375
    11South West Metro Pirates725635:6820.286
    12Cairns Marlins826686:8060.250

          Promotion ~ NBL1 North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBL1 North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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