South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Rugby league Australian NRL South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm
Result
24:25 OT
21/06/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NRL - Round 16
South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
54
Conversion Goals
24
Conversion Goal Attempts
54
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
40100
Dropped Goals
01
Dropped Goal Attempts
01
Total Runs
181191
Metres Run With Ball
16711785

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 12)
  • 4', Grant H. (Try),
  • 5', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 6', Hughes J. (Try),
  • 7', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 27', Johnston A. (Try),
  • 28', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (20 - 12)
  • 44', Johnston A. (Try),
  • 45', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
  • 47', Johnston A. (Try),
  • 49', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 52', Anderson G. (Try),
  • 54', Johnston A. (Try),
  • 54', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Wishart T. (Try),
  • 71', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Munro T. (Try),
  • 78', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 84', Papenhuyzen R. (Drop Goal),

Chances of winning


South Sydney Rabbitohs
21.1%
Draw
3.5%
Melbourne Storm
75.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 3.6% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 3.6% 65.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Sydney Rabbitohs's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Storm's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Sydney Rabbitohs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Storm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.18
    (3.01)
    26
    (26)
    1.24
    (1.41)
    8.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 49.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-15)
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 308:512. (average 15.4:25.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Sydney won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 144:235. (average 14.4:23.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 24:16
    08.08.2024 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm 16:28
    25.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 54:20
    06.05.2023 Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs 12:28
    31.03.2023 South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm 10:18
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders16133434:33028
    2Canterbury Bulldogs14113336:24028
    3Melbourne Storm14104459:26326
    4New Zealand Warriors15105321:31024
    5Brisbane Broncos1587398:33420
    6Sydney Roosters1477344:32820
    7Penrith Panthers1577322:31919
    8Dolphins1688478:31618
    9Manly Sea Eagles1578350:31018
    10Cronulla Sharks1688366:37018
    11St. George Illawarra Dragons1468306:35118
    12NQ Cowboys1568316:45017
    13Newcastle Knights16610237:30414
    14Wests Tigers15510290:37414
    15Parramatta Eels15510287:39014
    16South Sydney Rabbitohs16610293:40414
    17Gold Coast Titans15411312:45612

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of South Sydney Rabbitohs - Melbourne Storm?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
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