South Canterbury vs Thames Valley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Heartland Championships South Canterbury - Thames Valley
10/10/2025 at 22:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Heartland Championships - Play Offs - Semi-finals
South Canterbury - Thames Valley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


South Canterbury
60.1%
Draw
3.3%
Thames Valley
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 3.3% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2% 3.3% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Canterbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Thames Valley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Canterbury than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thames Valley than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • South Canterbury - Thames Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.52)
    28
    (28)
    2.51
    (2.51)
    9.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for South Canterbury - Thames Valley?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Cant (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 35:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Cant won 2.
    • In recent matches, South Cant has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Thames Valley is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • South Cant will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that South Cant will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, South Cant won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 200:136. (average 33.3:22.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Cant won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 114:92. (average 28.5:23).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Canterbury - Thames Valley were as follows:
    22.08.2025 South Canterbury - Thames Valley 34:35
    Latest results of South Canterbury
    Latest results of Thames Valley
    03.10.2025 Whanganui - Thames Valley 5:38
    26.09.2025 Thames Valley - West Coast 45:7
    19.09.2025 Thames Valley - East Coast 84:5
    12.09.2025 Buller - Thames Valley FRO
    05.09.2025 North Otago - Thames Valley 45:36
    Heartland Championships Table
    Main
    PlWDLPts
    1Mid Cant8800368:18640
    2South Cant8503297:23929
    3Thames Valley8503335:17229
    4Wairarapa8503290:22628
    5Whanganui8503258:22026
    6North Otago8503279:29026
    7Poverty Bay8404249:24725
    8Horowhenua8404242:22121
    9King Country8206259:23415
    10West Coast8404268:2038
    11Buller8107129:3787
    12East Coast8008112:4701

          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Heartland Championships (5th~8th places: Semi~finals)

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