New Zealand vs South Africa, Rugby Championship: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Rugby Championship New Zealand - South Africa
Result
10:43
13/09/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Rugby Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Amashukeli N. (Geo)
New Zealand - South Africa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
16
Conversion Goals
15
Conversion Goal Attempts
16
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
10086
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
93100
Metres Run With Ball
240560

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 7)
  • 10', Hotham N. , Christie F. ,
  • 10', de Jager L. , Snyman R. ,
  • 18', Carter L. (Try),
  • 19', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. , Libbok M. ,
  • 25', Kolbe C. (Try),
  • 26', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 29', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 33', Reinach C. , Williams G. ,
  • 38', Fassi A. , Esterhuizen A. ,
  • 40', Williams G. , Reinach C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 36)
  • 42', Nche O. , Wessels J. ,
  • 42', du Toit T. , Louw W. ,
  • 43', Kolbe C. (Try),
  • 44', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 44', de Groot E. , Williams T. ,
  • 44', Lomax T. , Newell F. ,
  • 47', Libbok M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 47', Kolbe C. , Williams G. ,
  • 55', Taukei'aho S. , McAlister B. ,
  • 59', Kolisi S. , Smith K. ,
  • 61', Proctor B. , Tupaea Q. ,
  • 61', Willemse D. (Try),
  • 62', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 62', Marx M. , van der Merwe M. ,
  • 63', Parker S. , Holland F. ,
  • 66', Sititi W. , Kirifi D. ,
  • 66', Carter L. , Love R. ,
  • 69', Smith K. (Try),
  • 73', Snyman R. (Try),
  • 74', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Esterhuizen A. (Try),
  • 80', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Zealand
26.6%
Draw
7.1%
South Africa
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.3% 3.5% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand's form might have worsened.
  • South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Africa's recent form is better than expected.
  • New Zealand - South Africa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.8
    (1.62)
    21.48
    (27)
    2.23
    (2.47)
    -35.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand - South Africa?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:22.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.
    • New Zealand is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, South Africa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New Zealand will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • We predict that New Zealand will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 541:415. (average 27.1:20.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand - South Africa were as follows:
    06.09.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 24:17
    07.09.2024 South Africa - New Zealand 18:12
    31.08.2024 South Africa - New Zealand 31:27
    28.10.2023 New Zealand - South Africa 11:12
    25.08.2023 New Zealand - South Africa 7:35
    Latest results of New Zealand
    06.09.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 24:17
    23.08.2025 Argentina - New Zealand 29:23
    16.08.2025 Argentina - New Zealand 24:41
    19.07.2025 New Zealand - France 29:19
    12.07.2025 New Zealand - France 43:17
    Latest results of South Africa
    06.09.2025 New Zealand - South Africa 24:17
    23.08.2025 South Africa - Australia 30:22
    16.08.2025 South Africa - Australia 22:38
    19.07.2025 South Africa - Georgia 55:10
    12.07.2025 South Africa - Italy 45:0
    Rugby Championship Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1South Africa6402208:15119
    2New Zealand6402159:15119
    3Australia6204152:16511
    4Argentina6204162:21410

    Which TV channels are streaming of New Zealand - South Africa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    brazilBrazilESPN 2
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    franceFranceCANAL+ Sport
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    spainSpainMovistar+ Vamos Bar 1
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Main Event
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