South Adelaide vs Adelaide: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Aussie rules SANFL South Adelaide - Adelaide
Result
103:85
01/08/2026 at 00:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : SANFL - Round 16
South Adelaide - Adelaide - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1613
Behinds
77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (34 - 7)
  • 2nd Quarter (13 - 33)
  • 3rd Quarter (32 - 13)
  • 4th Quarter (24 - 32)

Chances of winning


South Adelaide
36.8%
Adelaide
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 1.2% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3% 0.8% 89.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Adelaide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Adelaide than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Adelaide that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide than the current prediction. (+26.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Adelaide - Adelaide Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.55)

    1.47
    (1.48)
    7.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide won 1.
    • Recent form of South Adelaide has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Adelaide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Adelaide has had a series of away games.
    • Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Adelaide will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1527:1588. (average 76.4:79.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Adelaide won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1527:1588. (average 76.4:79.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Adelaide - Adelaide were as follows:
    06.06.2026 South Adelaide - Adelaide 66:110
    09.08.2025 South Adelaide - Adelaide 56:83
    07.06.2025 South Adelaide - Adelaide 50:51
    07.06.2024 South Adelaide - Adelaide 62:55
    28.03.2024 South Adelaide - Adelaide 91:96
    Latest results of South Adelaide
    Latest results of Adelaide
    18.07.2026 West Adelaide - Adelaide 83:94
    12.07.2026 Glenelg - Adelaide 61:58
    03.07.2026 Central District - Adelaide 56:106
    27.06.2026 Port Adelaide - Adelaide 77:129
    21.06.2026 Norwood - Adelaide 121:55
    SANFL Table
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Norwood1714031558:910171.2128
    2Glenelg1714031320:1017129.7928
    3Sturt1712051526:1123135.8924
    4Eagles1710071261:1135111.1020
    5West Adelaide178181212:1204100.6617
    6Adelaide Football Club1770101381:143696.1714
    7South Adelaide1770101198:142883.8914
    8North Adelaide1750121042:143072.8710
    9Central District1741121089:129584.099
    10Port Adelaide1730141065:167463.626

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