Result
11/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Sousa
33.2% | Draw
27.9% | América RN
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Sousa - América RN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.7) |
3.25
(3.25) |
2.33 ↑
(2.3) |
10.5%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 0.
- Sousa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, América RN has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sousa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against América RN?
Sousa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América RN won against Sousa?
América RN has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - América RN were as follows:
01.06.2025
América RN
-
Sousa
2:0
27.06.2024
América RN
-
Sousa
1:0
26.05.2024
Sousa
-
América RN
0:0
Latest results of América RN
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17:3 | 14 | 18 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Independencia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Manaus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Trem | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | GAS | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 8 | Humaita | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5:33 | -28 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Imperatriz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | AE Altos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Sampaio Correa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Parnahyba | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Maranhao | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Tocantinopolis | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Maracana | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Central SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | America RN | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 5 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
| 6 | Treze PB | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 9 |
| 7 | Horizonte | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 8 | Sousa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20:5 | 15 | 20 |
| 2 | Sergipe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Jequie | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Lagarto | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | Juazeirense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:15 | -11 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceilandia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Aparecidense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Luverdense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 | Mixto | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Capital | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Goiania | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Marica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 4 | Porto Vitoria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 5 | Agua Santa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 6 | Pouso Alegre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Boavista | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Goiatuba | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 14 |
| 3 | Cascavel | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 4 | Uberlandia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Cianorte | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Itabirito | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 7 | Monte Azul | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 8 | Operario MS | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 5 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Joinville | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | EC Sao Jose | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Barra FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Sao Luiz | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
| 6 | Azuriz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 7 | Brasil de Pelotas | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Guarany de Bage | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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