Sofia Shapatava vs Ariana Geerlings Martinez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA Hamburg Sofia Shapatava - Ariana Geerlings Martinez
Result
1:2
13/07/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Hamburg - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Sofia Shapatava - Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
64%69%
1st Serve Points Won
52% (34/65)60% (42/70)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (12/36)42% (13/31)
Break Points Saved
44% (7/16)67% (10/15)
1st Return Points Won
40% (28/70)48% (31/65)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (18/31)64% (23/36)
Break Points Converted
33% (5/15)56% (9/16)
Service Points Won
46% (46/101)54% (56/103)
Return Points Won
46% (47/103)54% (55/101)
Total Points Won
46% (93/204)54% (111/204)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
40% (6/15)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)60% (9/15)
Total Games Won
38% (11/29)62% (18/29)

Chances of winning


Sofia Shapatava
21.3%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 72%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofia Shapatava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Shapatava's form might have worsened.
  • Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ariana Geerlings Martinez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Shapatava than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Shapatava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ariana Geerlings Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofia Shapatava - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.44
    (3.38)

    1.21
    (1.31)
    5.5%
    (5.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shapatava is ranked WTA: 426. Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 346.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Geerlings Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Geerlings Martinez is the team to beat.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Sofia Shapatava
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alexandrova E. (1)Vedder E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Werner C. (Q)Steiner V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Cengiz B.Kraus S.1 : 2
    4Noha Akugue N. (WC)Bondar A. (7)1 : 2
    5Fossa Huergo N. (LL)Romero Gormaz L.0 : 2
    6Nahimana S. (LL)Rus A.0 : 2
    7Timofeeva M. (Q)Juvan K.0 : 2
    8Chirico L.Sherif M. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Boisson L. (5)Grabher J.2 : 0
    10Serban R.Korpatsch T.0 : 2
    11Sharma A.Geerlings Martinez A. (Q)2 : 1
    12Tomova V.Maria T. (3)2 : 0
    13Uchijima M. (6)Schunk N. (WC)0 : 2
    14Krunic A. (Q)Galfi D.0 : 2
    15Wuerth T.Parry D.1 : 2
    16Niemeier J.Yastremska D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alexandrova E. (1)Werner C.2 : 0
    2Kraus S.Bondar A. (7)0 : 2
    3Romero Gormaz L.Rus A.2 : 0
    4Juvan K.Chirico L.2 : 1
    5Boisson L. (5)Korpatsch T.2 : 1
    6Sharma A.Tomova V.0 : 2
    7Schunk N.Galfi D.1 : 2
    8Parry D.Yastremska D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alexandrova E. (1)Bondar A. (7)
    2Romero Gormaz L.Juvan K.
    3Boisson L. (5)Tomova V.
    4Galfi D.Yastremska D. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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