Sochi vs Dynamo Moscow: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Cup Sochi - Dynamo Moscow
Result
0:4
17/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4
Sochi - Dynamo Moscow - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
111
Shots on target
04
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
111
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
17
Corner Kicks
45
Free Kicks
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Maouhoub E. , Miranchuk An. (A),
  • 17', Agbalaka S. 🟨,
  • 22', 0 - 2, Skopintsev D. , Fomin D. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 3, Marichal N. , Skopintsev D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 0 - 4, Tyukavin K. ,
  • 60', Tyukavin K. , Makarov D. ,
  • 60', Fomin D. , Okishor V. ,
  • 62', Korneev A. , Ezhov R. ,
  • 62', Mukhin M. , Vasiljev D. ,
  • 62', Agbalaka S. , Aberdin N. ,
  • 67', Makarov D. 🟨,
  • 73', Miranchuk An. , Aleksandrov D. ,
  • 73', Bart R. , Fedorov Z. ,
  • 76', Osipov A. 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 82', Glebov D. , Zaynutdinov B. ,
  • 82', Maouhoub E. , Sergeev I. ,
  • 82', Kovalenko A. , Kravtsov K. ,
  • 84', Saavedra I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Sochi
20.6%
Draw
24.2%
Dynamo Moscow
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 20.8% 61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8% 20.6% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Dynamo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dynamo Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sochi - Dynamo Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.66
    (5.43)
    3.97
    (4.72)
    1.74
    (1.6)
    4.1%
    (2.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.
    • Sochi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Dynamo M has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Dynamo M is the team to beat.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 1:1
    29.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Sochi 3:2
    05.05.2024 Dynamo Moscow - Sochi 3:2
    06.11.2023 Sochi - Dynamo Moscow 3:3
    01.04.2023 Dynamo Moscow - Sochi 0:2
    Latest results of Sochi
    14.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Sochi 2:0
    30.08.2025 Spartak Moscow - Sochi 2:1
    27.08.2025 Sochi - Krasnodar 2:4
    17.08.2025 Krasnodar - Sochi 5:1
    Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit ✔ 4400012:512
    2Orenburg411025:85
    3Rubin Kazan410122:54
    4Akhmat Grozny410035:63


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krasnodar4300111:59
    2Dynamo Moscow420117:67
    3Krylya Sovetov411114:46
    4Sochi401035:122


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ 431007:311
    2Spartak Moscow420118:37
    3Pari NN410032:73
    4FK Rostov410033:73


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow430018:39
    2CSKA Moscow420206:38
    3Akron Togliatti411024:75
    4Baltika401032:72

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
    Which TV channels are streaming of Sochi - Dynamo Moscow?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
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