Slavia Mozyr vs Smorgon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon
Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Vysshaya Liga - Round 24
  • Referee: Shiyan N. (Blr)
Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Corner Kicks
51
Yellow Cards
25
Total shots
168
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
86
Corner Kicks
51
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1716
Throw-ins
3719
Fouls
1515

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Chebotar V. , Yablonskiy M. (A),
  • 36', Aliyu H. S. , Tishko A. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Solovey A. ,
  • 40', Firsov A. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Melnikov N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 52', Ivanov N. 🟨,
  • 53', Bogdanovich I. 🟨,
  • 57', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
  • 65', Chebotar V. , Dukso M. ,
  • 65', Maslovskiy V. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 67', Lutsevich T. , Gulko I. ,
  • 80', Chikida P. , Kuznetsov Y. ,
  • 82', Tonkevich V. , Kukhlejj R. ,
  • 82', Dzhigero A. , Sachkovskiy M. ,
  • 82', Poloz V. , Davydov V. ,
  • 85', Davydov V. 🟨,
  • 89', Intsoen C. 🟨,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Ivanov N. (Pen),
  • 90+2', Solovey A. , Kirilenko K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Slavia Mozyr
68.4%
Draw
21.3%
Smorgon
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 18.8% 9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 15% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Slavia Mozyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slavia Mozyr than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Slavia Mozyr that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.33)
    4.39
    (5.05)
    9.15
    (9.7)
    6.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Smorgon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Slavia Mozyr is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Slavia Mozyr won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:5. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Slavia Mozyr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon were as follows:
    16.05.2025 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    25.10.2024 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 0:0
    31.05.2024 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 3:3
    26.08.2023 Smorgon - Slavia Mozyr 0:2
    14.04.2023 Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon 4:1
    Latest results of Slavia Mozyr
    Latest results of Smorgon
    28.09.2025 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 1:0
    24.09.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    13.09.2025 Smorgon - Naftan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Smorgon - ML Vitebsk 0:1
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk24164438:152352
    2Din. Minsk23153542:241848
    3Slavia Mozyr24145541:241747
    4Zhodino23118437:231441
    5Dynamo Brest24125736:231341
    6FC Minsk24125738:35341
    7Isloch241010440:221840
    8Neman21102930:21932
    9BATE24861029:39-1030
    10FC Gomel23851024:27-329
    11Vitebsk24831332:36-427
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk23511724:29-526
    13Naftan24741331:42-1125
    14Smorgon24551418:36-1820
    15Slutsk23351511:36-2514
    16Molodechno24312016:55-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon?
    It is being streamed on channel
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