Śląsk Wrocław vs Zagłębie Lubin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 31
Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	1.53
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
6	9
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	11
Passes
80% (294/367)	80% (329/410)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54	1.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.83	2.10
Total shots
13	18
Shots on target
6	9
Shots off target
1	3
Blocked Shots
6	6
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	11
Touches in opposition box
18	27
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
7	7
Passes
80% (294/367)	80% (329/410)
Long passes
33% (15/46)	56% (27/48)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)	60% (67/111)
Crosses
22% (2/9)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	0.92
Throw-ins
25	21
Fouls
7	7
Tackles
56% (5/9)	55% (12/22)
Duels won
40	53
Clearances
32	28
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	3
xGOT faced
2.10	1.83
Goals prevented
1.10	-1.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Szota S. ⚽,
41', Paluszek A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kurminowski D. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
46', Kludka B. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Radwanski A. ⚽,
59', Paluszek A. ↓, Matsenko Y. ↑,
59', Ortiz A. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
61', Jasper S. 🟨,
63', Radwanski A. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ⚽,
72', Makowski T. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
72', Pienko T. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Jezierski J. ⚽,
82', Dabrowski D. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
82', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
84', Michalski D. 🟨,
86', Zukowski M. 🟨,
88', Pozo J. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
88', Jezierski J. ↓, Schierack S. ↑,
90+1', Marc L. B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Śląsk Wrocław
47.6%

Draw
25.3%

Zagłębie Lubin
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

27%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.72 ↑ (3.3)	3.46 ↑ (3.1)	6% (12.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
In recent matches, Śląsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Zagłębie Lubin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M. (Knee Injury) Musiolik S. (Inactive) Pokorny P. (Injury) Schwarz P. (Surgery) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury) Nalepa M. (Yellow Cards) Szafranek W. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Kolan J. (Injury) Wdowiak M. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Śląsk Wrocław won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Śląsk Wrocław has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Śląsk Wrocław?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:

04.11.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław 3:0

15.12.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Śląsk Wrocław 1:2

29.07.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin 1:2

28.01.2023 Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin 0:3

Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław

25.04.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Śląsk Wrocław 3:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - GKS Katowice 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Cracovia - Śląsk Wrocław 2:4 ✺

05.04.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Motor Lublin 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

28.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Stal Mielec 2:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

11.04.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1 ✺

31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rakow	32	19	8	5	48:21	27	65
2	Lech Poznan	31	20	3	8	64:29	35	63
3	Jagiellonia	32	17	8	7	54:40	14	59
4	Pogon Szczecin	31	16	5	10	52:36	16	53
5	Legia	30	14	8	8	55:39	16	50
6	Gornik Zabrze	32	13	7	12	42:36	6	46
7	Cracovia	31	12	9	10	52:49	3	45
8	Korona Kielce	31	11	10	10	33:40	-7	43
9	Motor Lublin	31	12	7	12	44:54	-10	43
10	GKS Katowice	31	12	6	13	42:42	0	42
11	Piast Gliwice	32	10	12	10	35:35	0	42
12	Radomiak Radom	32	11	7	14	44:47	-3	40
13	Widzew Lodz	31	10	7	14	35:45	-10	37
14	Zaglebie	32	10	6	16	32:48	-16	36
15	Lechia Gdansk	31	9	6	16	36:51	-15	33
16	Slask Wroclaw	32	6	10	16	36:51	-15	28
17	Puszcza	31	6	9	16	34:57	-23	27
18	Stal Mielec	31	6	8	17	32:50	-18	26

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball