Norilsk vs SKA-VMF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
3:4 penalties
10/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • : VHL
Norilsk - SKA-VMF - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 14:12, 1 - 0, Gorbunov D. (G), Golodnyuk S. (A), Korchemkin D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 04:38, 1 - 1, Yarullin A. (G), Vydrenkov I. (A), Mamaladze D. (A2)
  • 06:08, 1 - 2, Nedopyokin N. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Shekhovtsov Y. (A2)
  • 13:28, 2 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 02:34, 3 - 2, Golodnyuk S. (G), Gorbunov D. (A), Popov O. (A2)
  • 05:05, 3 - 3, Yarullin A. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 2)
  • 1, Lutfullin I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Leontyev A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Nedopyokin N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Ilyichyov M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Osipov G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Korenev I. (Penalty Shot),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Norilsk
34.7%
Draw
25.6%
SKA-VMF
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 23.5% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 23.5% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • SKA-VMF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA-VMF than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Norilsk - SKA-VMF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.45)
    3.65
    (3.98)
    2.35
    (2.45)
    7.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.
    • Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, SKA-VMF has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Norilsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, SKA-VMF has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 2.7:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - SKA-VMF were as follows:
    30.11.2025 SKA-VMF - Norilsk 4:0
    23.08.2025 SKA-VMF - Norilsk 3:0
    23.02.2025 SKA-VMF - Norilsk 3:6
    29.09.2024 Norilsk - SKA-VMF 5:3
    25.12.2023 SKA-VMF - Norilsk 1:3
    Latest results of Norilsk
    30.11.2025 SKA-VMF - Norilsk 4:0
    23.11.2025 Norilsk - Bars Kazan 2:3
    Latest results of SKA-VMF
    06.12.2025 SKA-VMF - Dynamo-Altay 1:2
    30.11.2025 SKA-VMF - Norilsk 4:0
    17.11.2025 Bars Kazan - SKA-VMF 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    2Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)4 : 2
    3Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)4 : 2
    4Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)4 : 2
    5Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)4 : 2
    6Gornyak (8)Perm (9)4 : 3
    7Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    8Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1HC Yugra (2)Omskie Krylia (7)4 : 0
    2Almetyevsk (3)Ryazan (6)4 : 1
    3Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)Gornyak (8)4 : 1
    4Khimik (4)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)4 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1HC Yugra (2)Almetyevsk (3)4 : 3
    2Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)Khimik (4)2 : 4

    Final
    1HC Yugra (2)Khimik (4)4 : 1
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