Hatayspor vs Sivasspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Mersin Stadyumu (Mersin).

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 28
Referee: Altay C. (Tur)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.83	2.48
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Goal Attempts
15	22
Shots on Goal
8	8
Shots off Goal
5	9
Blocked Shots
2	5
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
8	9
Shots inside the Box
9	15
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
Free Kicks
7	13
Offsides
0	2
Fouls
13	7
Yellow Cards
3	2
Red Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
18	13
Touches in the Opposition Box
20	29
Passes
85% (344/406)	81% (301/373)
Passes in the final third
71% (80/112)	70% (89/127)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	38% (9/24)
Tackles
67% (4/6)	75% (12/16)
Clearances Total
29	18
Interceptions
13	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Koita F. ⚽, Bekiroglu E. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Boutobba B. ⚽, Saglam G. (A),
31', Sertel C. ↓, Yilmaz R. B. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, Yilmaz R. B. ⚽, Parmak A. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Manaj R. ⚽,
64', Charisis C. ↓, Basyigit E. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Kilama G. ⚽,
67', Ciftci U. 🟨,
72', Fernandes J. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
72', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Boke T. ↑,
74', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
78', Calvo F. 🟥,
78', Saglam G. 🟨,
78', Paluli M. 🟨,
79', Massanga Matondo 🟨,
83', Rodrigues G. ↓, Simic V. ↑,
84', Saglam G. ↓, Demir C. ↑,

Chances of winning

Hatayspor
31.8%

Draw
28.2%

Sivasspor
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

28.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.5%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hatayspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hatayspor's form might have worsened.

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sivasspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hatayspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sivasspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hatayspor - Sivasspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.43)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	2.39 ↓ (2.9)	5.3% (5.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Hatayspor - Sivasspor?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 15).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.
Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sivasspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sivasspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Sivasspor: Albayrak M. (Knee Injury) Cigerci T. (Calf Injury) Erdal Z. (Yellow Cards) Pritchard A. (Injury) Turgunboev A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Hatayspor: Alici K. (Injury) Corekci K. (Thigh Injury) Diack L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Sivasspor: Bassan E. (Injury) Camara S. (Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:12 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Hatayspor won against Sivasspor?

Hatayspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Hatayspor?

Sivasspor has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Hatayspor - Sivasspor were as follows:

20.10.2024 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 3:2

17.02.2024 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:1

30.09.2023 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 0:0

02.10.2022 Sivasspor - Hatayspor 1:2

Latest results of Hatayspor

08.03.2025 Trabzonspor - Hatayspor 1:2 ✺

21.02.2025 Bodrumspor - Hatayspor 1:0 ✺

16.02.2025 Hatayspor - Alanyaspor 1:0 ✺

07.02.2025 Samsunspor - Hatayspor 2:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Hatayspor - Antalyaspor 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Sivasspor

09.03.2025 Sivasspor - Göztepe 3:1 ✺

03.03.2025 İstanbul Başakşehir - Sivasspor 1:0 ✺

25.02.2025 Sivasspor - Bodrumspor 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Sivasspor - Konyaspor 1:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Gaziantep - Sivasspor 2:1 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	32	26	5	1	82:31	51	83
2	Fenerbahce	32	23	6	3	80:32	48	75
3	Samsunspor	33	17	6	10	50:38	12	57
4	Besiktas	32	15	10	7	49:32	17	55
5	Basaksehir	32	15	6	11	54:45	9	51
6	Eyupspor	33	14	8	11	49:41	8	50
7	Goztepe	32	12	10	10	53:40	13	46
8	Trabzonspor	32	12	10	10	53:40	13	46
9	Kasimpasa	32	10	13	9	54:56	-2	43
10	Konyaspor	33	12	7	14	41:45	-4	43
11	Antalyaspor	32	12	7	13	35:55	-20	43
12	Gaziantep	32	12	6	14	41:45	-4	42
13	Kayserispor	32	10	11	11	40:50	-10	41
14	Rizespor	32	12	4	16	38:50	-12	40
15	Alanyaspor	32	9	8	15	37:48	-11	35
16	Sivasspor	33	9	7	17	44:57	-13	34
17	Bodrumspor	32	9	7	16	24:37	-13	34
18	Hatayspor ✔	32	4	7	21	35:66	-31	19
19	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	2	4	26	28:79	-51	-2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig

Clinched Spots for Teams

Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig

Which TV channels are streaming of Hatayspor - Sivasspor?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2