Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 4
- Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (533/609) | 76% (244/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.27 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (533/609) | 76% (244/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 49% (36/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (151/203) | 59% (57/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (11/35) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Mamatsashvili S. ⚽,
- 44', Busuladzic K. 🟨,
- 45', Anker T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Botheim E. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 60', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Christiansen A. ↑,
- 60', Ekong E. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
- 60', Busuladzic K. ↓, Rosengren O. ↑,
- 64', Mamatsashvili S. ↓, Sandberg S. ↑,
- 64', Pyndt A. ↓, Milovanov B. ↑,
- 64', Persson J. ↓, Vikman A. ↑,
- 70', Jansson P. 🟨,
- 74', Bjerkebo I. ↓, Lindberg M. ↑,
- 76', Kiese I. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Johnsen L. (Pen),
- 90', Heier M. ↓, Svensson V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Malmö
68.9% | Draw
19.3% | Sirius
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Malmö - Sirius Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↑
(1.33) |
4.91 ↓
(5.44) |
8.09 ↓
(8.36) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Malmö - Sirius?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Malmö will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Malmö won 3.
- Malmö in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Sirius is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Malmö is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Malmö: Dahlin J.
(Knee Injury)
Holmquist S.
(Back Injury)
Lajqi G.
(Knee Injury)
Lewicki O.
(Calf Injury)
Tinnerholm A.
(Groin Injury)
- There will not play in Sirius: Milleskog N.
(Inactive)
Nwadike P.
(Inactive)
Sjogrell H.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Malmö to win the game is with odds 1.31.
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Malmö won 14 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 53:18 (average 2.9:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Malmö won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:8 (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Malmö won against Sirius?
Malmö has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sirius won against Malmö?
Sirius has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malmö - Sirius were as follows:
27.07.2024
Malmö
-
Sirius
0:1
19.07.2024
Sirius
-
Malmö
3:4
28.08.2023
Sirius
-
Malmö
1:3
01.07.2023
Malmö
-
Sirius
3:0
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 27:11 | 16 | 30 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:9 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | AIK | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Elfsborg | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | GAIS | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Goteborg | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hacken | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 | Djurgarden | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 15 |
| 10 | Norrkoping | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Sirius | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Degerfors | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Halmstad | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 11:27 | -16 | 13 |
| 15 | Oster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 11:24 | -13 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of Malmö - Sirius?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Discovery+ |
 Finland | Max |
 Sweden | Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play |
