Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Sint-Truidense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

16/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Den Dreef (Heverlee).

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 30
Referee: Boterberg J. (Bel)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.91	0.71
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Goal Attempts
13	6
Shots on Goal
4	3
Shots off Goal
7	3
Blocked Shots
2	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	2
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
Free Kicks
13	16
Offsides
1	3
Fouls
16	13
Yellow Cards
3	5
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
21	22
Touches in the Opposition Box
21	12
Passes
83% (366/440)	73% (271/372)
Passes in the final third
70% (75/107)	44% (38/86)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	23% (3/13)
Tackles
67% (12/18)	74% (14/19)
Clearances Total
35	17
Interceptions
13	20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Osifo M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Schrijvers S. ⚽,
20', Zeefuik L. 🟨,
30', Musliu V. 🟨,
32', Van Helden R. 🟨,
38', Ferrari A. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Vanwesemael R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Ferrari A. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
56', Ito R. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
60', Brahimi B. 🟨,
60', Van Helden R. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Gil O. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
68', Osifo M. ↓, Vlietinck T. ↑,
68', Zeefuik L. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
70', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
70', Godeau B. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Fujita J. (A),
80', 3 - 2, Schrijvers S. (Pen),
86', Gil O. 🟨,
90', Verlinden T. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
90', Ogawa R. ↓, Komori H. ↑,
90+4', Schrijvers S. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
90+4', Mitrovic S. ↓, George W. ↑,

Chances of winning

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
35.7%

Draw
30.7%

Sint-Truidense
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.1%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oud-Heverlee Leuven's form might have worsened.

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.28)	3.11 ↓ (3.37)	2.82 ↓ (3.08)	5.7% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 7 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 23.8% – 76.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Leuven won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Sint-Truidense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Leuven: Balikwisha W. (Red Card) Maertens M. (Muscle Injury) Tsoungui A. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J. (Injury) Delpupo I. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Leuven won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 33:31 (average 1.7:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Leuven won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:9 (average 2.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Sint-Truidense?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sint-Truidense won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

Sint-Truidense has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense were as follows:

15.09.2024 Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1

17.05.2024 Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

20.04.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense 1:0

09.12.2023 Sint-Truidense - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:1

22.10.2023 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense 4:0

Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven

08.03.2025 Kortrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:0 ✺

02.03.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo 0:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:2 ✺

15.02.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Dender EH 3:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sint-Truidense

07.03.2025 Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk 2:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk 4:2 ✺

21.02.2025 KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense 1:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge 2:2 ✺

08.02.2025 Dender EH - Sint-Truidense 2:1 ✺

Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Leuven	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cercle Brugge KSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Club Brugge KV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Dender	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Genk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Gent	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	St. Liege	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Waregem	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Royale Union SG	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
      Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza