AGF Aarhus vs Silkeborg IF: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Danish Superliga AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF
Result
3:1
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Superliga - Round 11
  • Referee: Hansen J. (Den)
AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.52
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
93% (617/662)88% (473/537)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.510.52
xG on target (xGOT)
4.790.28
Total shots
226
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
102
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
338
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
89
Passes
93% (617/662)88% (473/537)
Long passes
74% (39/53)44% (16/36)
Passes in final third
85% (130/153)80% (86/107)
Crosses
30% (6/20)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.70
Throw-ins
99
Fouls
98
Tackles
78% (7/9)72% (13/18)
Duels won
2939
Clearances
321
Interceptions
209
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
0.284.79
Goals prevented
-0.721.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', Poulsen N. 🟨,
  • 10', 1 - 0, Arnstad K. , Poulsen N. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Yakob K. , Beijmo F. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, McCowatt C. , Adamsen T. (A),
  • 37', Tingager F. , Carstensen R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Westh V. 🟨,
  • 62', Freundlich M. , Nielsen J. ,
  • 62', Bakiz Y. , Al Hajj R. ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Bech T. ,
  • 67', Yakob K. , Solbakken M. ,
  • 67', Poulsen N. , Jorgensen S. ,
  • 81', McCowatt C. , Berger S. ,
  • 81', Westh V. , Boesen O. ,
  • 86', Adamsen T. , Bondergaard A. ,
  • 88', Bech T. , Kristjansson T. ,
  • 88', Links G. , Emmery F. ,

Chances of winning


AGF Aarhus
63.7%
Draw
20.1%
Silkeborg IF
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 21.9% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 21% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Silkeborg IF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.61)
    4.86
    (4.32)
    6.06
    (4.92)
    3.4%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF?
  • Users Predictions: AGF Aarhus will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.37%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AGF Aarhus will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 0.
    • Aarhus has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Silkeborg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Silkeborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aarhus is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Knee Injury) Molgaard T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Silkeborg: Busch A. (Ankle Injury) Madsen A. (Hamstring Injury) Rodin P. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Aarhus will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aarhus won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Silkeborg IF - AGF Aarhus 1:1
    15.09.2024 AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF 1:1
    16.05.2024 AGF Aarhus - Silkeborg IF 0:1
    09.05.2024 Silkeborg IF - AGF Aarhus 1:0
    01.04.2024 Silkeborg IF - AGF Aarhus 2:2
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    28.09.2025 Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    24.09.2025 Hillerød - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    21.09.2025 AGF Aarhus - Brøndby 1:0
    14.09.2025 Viborg - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    31.08.2025 AGF Aarhus - Fredericia 4:1
    Latest results of Silkeborg IF
    Danish Superliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aarhus1182123:101326
    2Midtjylland1164126:141222
    3FC Copenhagen1163225:151021
    4Brondby1170418:11721
    5Randers FC1151514:16-216
    6Nordsjaelland1150616:19-315
    7Sonderjyske1133516:19-312
    8Viborg1140714:18-412
    9Odense1133518:28-1012
    10Fredericia1132616:22-611
    11Silkeborg1132616:24-811
    12Vejle1114611:17-67

          Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
          Superliga (Relegation Group: )

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