Shrewsbury Town vs Reading: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Shrewsbury Town - Reading
Result
1:3
08/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Shrewsbury Town - Reading - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.45
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
109
Passes
78% (302/385)81% (284/350)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.421.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.291.47
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
109
Touches in opposition box
5221
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
78% (302/385)81% (284/350)
Long passes
52% (35/67)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
61% (69/113)74% (111/151)
Crosses
5% (2/38)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.92
Fouls
1012
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4856
Clearances Total
3261
Interceptions
39
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.471.29
Goals prevented
-1.530.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Bindon T. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Wing L. , Savage C. (A),
  • 39', Camara M. 🟨,
  • 44', Savage C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Camara M. , Wareham J. ,
  • 46', Garcia A. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Perry T. , Feeney J. (A),
  • 53', 1 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. , Savage C. (A),
  • 57', Pierre A. 🟨,
  • 68', Hoole L. , Wheeler D. ,
  • 69', Nurse G. , Benning M. ,
  • 69', Ojo F. , Gape D. ,
  • 72', 1 - 3, Campbell C. , Wing L. (A),
  • 74', Perry T. , Shipley J. ,
  • 78', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Bodin B. ,
  • 88', Knibbs H. , Carroll T. ,
  • 88', Lloyd G. , Stewart C. ,
  • 90', Savage C. , Rushesha T. ,

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
26.5%
Draw
28.3%
Reading
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 26.4% 38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 26.3% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.
  • Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shrewsbury Town - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.54
    (2.63)
    3.35
    (3.55)
    2.08
    (2.46)
    6.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.7%97.94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
    • Shrewsbury has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Reading is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Reading have a series of home games.
    • Reading will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Reading: Craig M. (Injury) Dean H. (Hip Injury) Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury) Elliott B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Oliver V. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Reading were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Reading - Shrewsbury Town 1:1
    24.02.2024 Reading - Shrewsbury Town 2:3
    11.11.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Reading 3:2
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Reading
    01.04.2025 Blackpool - Reading 3:0
    11.03.2025 Reading - Wrexham 2:0
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Stockport County1264218:14422
    5AFC Wimbledon1271417:13422
    6Lincoln1163217:10721
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1252511:16-517
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Leyton Orient1242620:22-214
    14Northampton114258:10-214
    15Port Vale1234511:11013
    16Exeter1241712:13-113
    17Wigan1234515:17-213
    18Plymouth1141616:19-313
    19Wycombe1233614:15-112
    20Burton1133510:15-512
    21Reading1125412:16-411
    22Rotherham1132611:16-511
    23Blackpool1222810:20-108
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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