Notts County vs Shrewsbury Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Notts County - Shrewsbury Town
Result
4:1
20/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Notts County - Shrewsbury Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.34
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (371/463)79% (308/389)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.651.58
Total shots
117
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
80% (371/463)79% (308/389)
Long passes
25% (15/60)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
63% (60/95)63% (52/82)
Crosses
22% (2/9)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.15
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1016
Tackles
78% (18/23)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.583.65
Goals prevented
0.58-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Dennis M. ,
  • 12', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Aljofree S. , Dennis M. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Marquis J. , Stubbs S. (A),
  • 41', Stubbs S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 1, Tsaroulla N. , Jones J. (A),
  • 69', Cotter B. , Gordon K. ,
  • 69', Jones J. , Grant C. ,
  • 74', Boyle W. , Nurse G. ,
  • 74', Scully A. , Stewart C. ,
  • 74', Nsiala A. , Hoole L. ,
  • 75', Tsaroulla N. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 75', Norburn O. , Hall T. ,
  • 78', Grant C. 🟨,
  • 81', Gordon K. 🟨,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Grant C. , Gordon K. (A),
  • 86', Dennis M. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 90', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Nurse G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
58.3%
Draw
24.8%
Shrewsbury Town
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.1% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 23.5% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notts County - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.81)
    4.51
    (3.6)
    6.84
    (4.31)
    -7.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Notts County - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A. (Inactive) McDermott T. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Inactive) Jatta A. (Inactive) Ness L. (Inactive) Traore M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    13.08.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 4:3
    01.12.2023 Notts County - Shrewsbury Town 2:3
    29.07.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 1:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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