Notts County vs Shrewsbury Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Notts County - Shrewsbury Town
Result
4:1
20/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 4
  • Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
Notts County - Shrewsbury Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.34
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
80% (371/463)79% (308/389)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.990.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.651.58
Total shots
117
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1817
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
80% (371/463)79% (308/389)
Long passes
25% (15/60)34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
63% (60/95)63% (52/82)
Crosses
22% (2/9)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.15
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
1016
Tackles
78% (18/23)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.583.65
Goals prevented
0.58-0.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Dennis M. ,
  • 12', Norburn O. 🟨,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Aljofree S. , Dennis M. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 1, Marquis J. , Stubbs S. (A),
  • 41', Stubbs S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 3 - 1, Tsaroulla N. , Jones J. (A),
  • 69', Cotter B. , Gordon K. ,
  • 69', Jones J. , Grant C. ,
  • 74', Boyle W. , Nurse G. ,
  • 74', Scully A. , Stewart C. ,
  • 74', Nsiala A. , Hoole L. ,
  • 75', Tsaroulla N. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 75', Norburn O. , Hall T. ,
  • 78', Grant C. 🟨,
  • 81', Gordon K. 🟨,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Grant C. , Gordon K. (A),
  • 86', Dennis M. , Kouhyar Q. ,
  • 90', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Nurse G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Notts County
58.3%
Draw
24.8%
Shrewsbury Town
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 26.1% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 23.5% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Notts County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Notts County - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.81)
    4.51
    (3.6)
    6.84
    (4.31)
    -7.9%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Notts County - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Users Predictions: Notts County will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Notts County is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Mata M. A. (Inactive) McDermott T. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Inactive) Jatta A. (Inactive) Ness L. (Inactive) Traore M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 2.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    13.08.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 4:3
    01.12.2023 Notts County - Shrewsbury Town 2:3
    29.07.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 1:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe540110:3712
    2Chesterfield54019:6312
    3MK Dons532010:2811
    4Grimsby532010:5511
    5Gillingham53208:3511
    6Salford63127:7010
    7Bromley52308:539
    8Walsall53025:419
    9Swindon53028:809
    10Tranmere42208:268
    11Harrogate52217:618
    12Fleetwood52218:808
    13Cambridge Utd52126:607
    14Barrow52034:5-16
    15Barnet52034:6-26
    16Notts Co51229:815
    17Colchester51225:6-15
    18Oldham50413:4-14
    19Newport51135:7-24
    20Bristol Rovers51133:6-34
    21Accrington40223:6-32
    22Crawley50142:9-71
    23Cheltenham60152:12-101
    24Shrewsbury50142:12-101

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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