Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town
Result
4:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Kennard-Kettle Z. (Eng)
Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.85
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
64% (159/248)76% (305/402)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.85
xG on target (xGOT)
3.551.19
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2128
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1320
Passes
64% (159/248)76% (305/402)
Long passes
29% (16/55)33% (18/55)
Passes in final third
60% (81/135)59% (56/95)
Crosses
20% (4/20)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.731.22
Fouls
2013
Tackles
81% (13/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4255
Clearances Total
2748
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.193.55
Goals prevented
0.19-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', Pierre A. 🟨,
  • 26', 1 - 0, McGowan A. , Pinnock M. (A),
  • 32', Marquis J. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Costelloe D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 54', Magloire T. 🟨,
  • 59', Perry B. 🟨,
  • 61', Magloire T. , Dyche M. ,
  • 64', Roberts T. , Fosu T. ,
  • 69', McGowan A. , Hondermarck W. ,
  • 69', Perry B. , Baldwin J. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, McGeehan C. ,
  • 80', Hoole L. , Feeney M. ,
  • 80', Benning M. , Nurse G. ,
  • 83', 4 - 0, Costelloe D. , Odimayo A. (A),
  • 89', Stewart C. , Loughran J. ,
  • 89', Biggins H. , England I. ,
  • 90', Dyche M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Marquis J. , Gilliead A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Northampton Town
60.7%
Draw
24.3%
Shrewsbury Town
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 27.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 23.8% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northampton Town's performance.
  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shrewsbury Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-20.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shrewsbury Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (2.03)
    3.87
    (3.42)
    6.27
    (3.73)
    6%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Northampton Town will win! (22 of 26 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
    • Recent matches Northampton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Shrewsbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Northampton is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Northampton: Brough P. (Broken Leg) Eaves T. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Knee Injury) Morton C. (Knee Injury) Sowerby J. (Knee Injury) Willis J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Northampton: Hoskins S. (Injury) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Gape D. (Injury) Oliver V. (Injury) Shipley J. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town 1:1
    27.01.2024 Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town 0:2
    07.10.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Northampton Town 1:0
    Latest results of Northampton Town
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Northampton Town - Shrewsbury Town?
    It is being streamed on channel
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