Shrewsbury Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons
Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 10
  • Referee: Coy M. (Eng)
Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.26
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
50% (114/230)63% (184/291)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.931.86
Total shots
117
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
50% (114/230)63% (184/291)
Long passes
27% (24/88)30% (24/79)
Passes in final third
34% (38/111)51% (61/120)
Crosses
9% (2/23)33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.79
Throw-ins
2931
Fouls
1511
Tackles
86% (18/21)72% (13/18)
Duels won
6871
Clearances
3642
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.860.93
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Hogan S. , Gilbey A. (A),
  • 38', Ihionvien B. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 2, Collar W. ,
  • 45', Hoole L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Ihionvien B. , Lloyd G. ,
  • 65', Perry T. , Biggins H. ,
  • 65', McDermott T. , Aneke Ch. ,
  • 74', Hogan S. , Thompson-Sommers K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Aneke Ch. , Clucas S. (A),
  • 82', Crowley D. , Kelly L. ,
  • 85', Mendez-Laing N. , Leko J. ,
  • 89', Sang T. , England I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shrewsbury Town
28%
Draw
26.7%
Milton Keynes Dons
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.8% 27.3% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27.7% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.27)
    3.62
    (3.46)
    2.09
    (2.14)
    3.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Users Predictions: Shrewsbury Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4.
    • Shrewsbury has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • MK Dons has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, MK Dons has had a series of home games.
    • MK Dons could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Scully A. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in MK Dons: Jones G. (Injury) Offord L. (Red Card) Sanders J. (Injury) Tomlinson J. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in MK Dons: Thompson N. (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    24.01.2023 Milton Keynes Dons - Shrewsbury Town 0:1
    08.10.2022 Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons 2:1
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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