Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town
Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 42
  • Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)
Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.12
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
80% (324/405)69% (199/287)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.12
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.16
Total shots
147
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2816
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
80% (324/405)69% (199/287)
Long passes
31% (14/45)40% (26/65)
Passes in final third
63% (74/118)48% (30/63)
Crosses
15% (5/34)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
2.040.53
Fouls
1210
Tackles
73% (11/15)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5250
Clearances Total
2041
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.160.90
Goals prevented
0.16-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Bayliss T. ,
  • 23', 1 - 1, Pierre A. , Lloyd G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 62', Ring E. , House B. ,
  • 68', McGrandles C. , Erhahon E. ,
  • 68', Gardner J. , Okoro Z. ,
  • 77', Perry T. , Wheeler D. ,
  • 78', Nurse G. , Benning M. ,
  • 81', Collins J. , Hamer T. ,
  • 81', Montsma L. , Draper F. ,
  • 85', Gape D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Hoole L. , Nsiala A. ,
  • 90+1', Lloyd G. , Stewart C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
60.7%
Draw
25%
Shrewsbury Town
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 22.9% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 21.9% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.49)
    3.79
    (4.09)
    6.65
    (6.61)
    5.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lincoln (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.
    • Recent matches Lincoln is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shrewsbury has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Shrewsbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Lincoln is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Injury) Moylan J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lincoln: Erhahon E. (Inactive) Makama J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Oliver V. (Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 1:0
    27.02.2024 Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town 3:0
    19.08.2023 Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 0:1
    07.05.2023 Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town 1:0
    03.12.2022 Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City 2:0
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Shrewsbury Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff752012:21017
    2Bradford City852114:10417
    3Barnsley751114:9516
    4Stevenage751110:5516
    5Doncaster85129:8116
    6Huddersfield850315:11415
    7Lincoln843111:8315
    8Wigan833213:9412
    9Luton740310:6412
    10Stockport County833213:12112
    11AFC Wimbledon840410:10012
    12Bolton825110:7311
    13Mansfield832312:10211
    14Leyton Orient832310:13-311
    15Northampton73135:6-110
    16Exeter83059:909
    17Plymouth830511:17-69
    18Rotherham72146:10-47
    19Wycombe81258:11-35
    20Port Vale81256:9-35
    21Reading71247:12-55
    22Burton61145:10-54
    23Blackpool71157:14-74
    24Peterborough81166:15-94

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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