Tokyo Verdy vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare
Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 16
Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.94
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
81% (415/513)75% (260/347)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.950.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.121.07
Total shots
138
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
127
Passes
81% (415/513)75% (260/347)
Long passes
48% (30/63)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
60% (85/142)56% (48/85)
Crosses
29% (6/21)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.49
Throw-ins
3323
Fouls
712
Tackles
80% (8/10)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5249
Clearances
2135
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.070.12
Goals prevented
-0.930.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Morita K. 🟨,
  • 56', Oda Y. , Suzuki A. ,
  • 56', Matsumura S. , Hata T. ,
  • 58', Saito K. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 58', Meshino S. , Yamami H. ,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Okuno K. ,
  • 66', Someno I. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 66', Fukuda Y. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 71', Ikeda M. , Okuno H. ,
  • 71', Hiraoka T. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 81', Arai Y. , Inami T. ,
  • 88', Fukuda S. 🟨,
  • 90', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,
  • 90+4', 0 - 2, Luiz Phellype , Okuno H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
38.3%
Draw
31.8%
Shonan Bellmare
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28.8% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 29.3% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokyo Verdy's form might have worsened.
  • Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo Verdy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.1)
    2.96
    (3.26)
    3.15
    (3.53)
    6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1.
    • Tokyo Verdy is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hirakawa R. (Yellow Cards) Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    10.07.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:0
    03.04.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 1:2
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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