Shonan Bellmare vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia
Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 20
Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.36
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Passes
83% (374/448)83% (364/439)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.561.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.80
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
310
Touches in opposition box
1424
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
147
Passes
83% (374/448)83% (364/439)
Long passes
26% (10/39)55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
63% (53/84)70% (96/138)
Crosses
13% (2/16)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.05
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
714
Tackles
71% (10/14)17% (2/12)
Duels won
4845
Clearances
3622
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.800.85
Goals prevented
0.53-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Mae H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hiraoka T. , Suzuki A. ,
  • 61', Luiz Phellype , Fukuda S. ,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Fukuda S. ,
  • 72', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 78', Fujii T. , Tachi K. ,
  • 82', Soma Y. , Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 82', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Na Sang-Ho ,
  • 90+1', Onose K. , Nemoto R. ,
  • 90+1', Barada A. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 90+1', Nishimura T. , Shirasaki R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
24%
Draw
29.5%
Machida Zelvia
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 28.9% 46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 29.5% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.87
    (3.76)
    3.2
    (3.26)
    2.03
    (2.05)
    6.4%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Concussion)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    11.08.2024 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    11.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 0:0
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, NHK BS1
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