Shonan Bellmare vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/06/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

: J1 League - Round 20

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.36
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	10
Passes
83% (374/448)	83% (364/439)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	0.80
Total shots
10	13
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked Shots
6	3
Shots inside the Box
5	13
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	10
Touches in opposition box
14	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free Kicks
14	7
Passes
83% (374/448)	83% (364/439)
Long passes
26% (10/39)	55% (29/53)
Passes in final third
63% (53/84)	70% (96/138)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	1.05
Throw-ins
18	17
Fouls
7	14
Tackles
71% (10/14)	17% (2/12)
Duels won
48	45
Clearances
36	22
Interceptions
4	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.80	0.85
Goals prevented
0.53	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Mae H. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hiraoka T. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
61', Luiz Phellype ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Fukuda S. ⚽,
72', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
78', Fujii T. ↓, Tachi K. ↑,
82', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
82', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Na Sang-Ho ⚽,
90+1', Onose K. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
90+1', Barada A. ↓, Ikeda M. ↑,
90+1', Nishimura T. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
24%

Draw
29.5%

Machida Zelvia
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

29.5%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.76)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.03 ↓ (2.05)	6.4% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Shonan Bellmare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Machida Zelvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There are questionable in Shonan Bellmare: Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Concussion)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Machida Zelvia?

Shonan Bellmare has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Shonan Bellmare?

Machida Zelvia has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

25.04.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1

11.08.2024 Machida Zelvia - Shonan Bellmare 0:1

11.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 0:0

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

11.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gifu 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺

04.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata 2:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

11.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sangyo University 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol 3:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	25	15	2	8	37:24	13	47
2	Kashiwa Reysol	25	13	8	4	35:23	12	47
3	Vissel Kobe	25	14	4	7	34:24	10	46
4	Kyoto	25	13	6	6	42:30	12	45
5	Machida	25	13	4	8	36:25	11	43
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	25	13	4	8	29:18	11	43
7	Urawa Reds	25	11	8	6	34:25	9	41
8	Kawasaki Frontale	25	10	8	7	40:31	9	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	25	10	7	8	40:34	6	37
10	Avispa Fukuoka	25	9	8	8	26:25	1	35
11	Gamba Osaka	25	10	4	11	29:34	-5	34
12	Okayama	25	9	6	10	23:22	1	33
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	25	8	7	10	29:32	-3	31
14	Verdy	25	8	7	10	16:24	-8	31
15	FC Tokyo	25	8	5	12	27:35	-8	29
16	Nagoya Grampus	25	7	7	11	29:35	-6	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	25	6	6	13	20:39	-19	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	25	5	6	14	23:33	-10	21
19	Yokohama FC	25	5	4	16	15:32	-17	19
20	Albirex Niigata	25	4	7	14	25:44	-19	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Australia	Optus Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK BS1