Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare
Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 10
Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.90
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
73% (282/385)78% (331/426)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.45
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3718
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
913
Passes
73% (282/385)78% (331/426)
Long passes
36% (22/61)44% (31/71)
Passes in final third
67% (110/164)63% (68/108)
Crosses
25% (6/24)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.76
Fouls
139
Tackles
55% (11/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6559
Clearances Total
1940
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.451.90
Goals prevented
0.45-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Rafael Elias 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Kawasaki S. , Sugai H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fukuoka S. , Yonemoto T. ,
  • 59', Marco Tulio , Okugawa M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Kawasaki S. , Hara T. (A),
  • 66', Okuno K. , Oda Y. ,
  • 78', Hirato T. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 80', Fukuda S. , Barada A. ,
  • 80', Okuno H. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 86', Suzuki A. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 87', Sato K. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 87', Rafael Elias , Patrick William ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
39.5%
Draw
29.2%
Shonan Bellmare
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 26.2% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.5% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.2)
    3.22
    (3.55)
    2.97
    (2.95)
    7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 1:2
    21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:2
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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