Kyoto Sanga vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare
Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 10
Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.90
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
73% (282/385)78% (331/426)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.590.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.45
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3718
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
913
Passes
73% (282/385)78% (331/426)
Long passes
36% (22/61)44% (31/71)
Passes in final third
67% (110/164)63% (68/108)
Crosses
25% (6/24)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.76
Fouls
139
Tackles
55% (11/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6559
Clearances Total
1940
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
0.451.90
Goals prevented
0.45-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Rafael Elias 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Kawasaki S. , Sugai H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Fukuoka S. , Yonemoto T. ,
  • 59', Marco Tulio , Okugawa M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Kawasaki S. , Hara T. (A),
  • 66', Okuno K. , Oda Y. ,
  • 78', Hirato T. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 80', Fukuda S. , Barada A. ,
  • 80', Okuno H. , Ikeda M. ,
  • 86', Suzuki A. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 87', Sato K. , Fukuda S. ,
  • 87', Rafael Elias , Patrick William ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
39.5%
Draw
29.2%
Shonan Bellmare
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 26.2% 31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 25.5% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (2.2)
    3.22
    (3.55)
    2.97
    (2.95)
    7%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Shonan Bellmare is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Shonan Bellmare have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Kyoto won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:11 (average 0.7:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kyoto won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    02.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 1:2
    21.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    12.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kyoto Sanga 0:2
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kyoto Sanga - Shonan Bellmare?
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