Shonan Bellmare vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
1:2
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 31
Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.582.82
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
918
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
80% (324/407)77% (264/342)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.582.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.932.05
Total shots
918
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
312
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1935
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (324/407)77% (264/342)
Long passes
56% (33/59)24% (13/54)
Passes in final third
68% (93/136)71% (85/119)
Crosses
27% (6/22)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.44
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
811
Tackles
55% (11/20)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5540
Clearances
2327
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.050.93
Goals prevented
0.05-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Wakizaka Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', Erison (Pen),
  • 62', Marcinho , Miyagi T. ,
  • 65', Okuno K. 🟨,
  • 65', Nitta R. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 69', Uremovic F. 🟨,
  • 70', Erison 🟨,
  • 71', van Wermeskerken S. 🟨,
  • 74', Suzuki Y. , Fujii T. ,
  • 74', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,
  • 78', Erison , Kobayashi Y. ,
  • 78', Matsumoto H. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 2, Ito T. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Tachi K. , Ikeda M. (A),
  • 84', Nakano S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 84', Ikeda M. , Hiraoka T. ,
  • 90+1', van Wermeskerken S. , Kamihashi R. ,
  • 90+1', Yamamoto Y. , Tachibanada K. ,
  • 90+2', Ito T. , Tanabe S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
19.2%
Draw
22.4%
Kawasaki Frontale
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 24.8% 50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 23.7% 52.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shonan Bellmare's form might have worsened.
  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kawasaki Frontale's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (3.76)
    4.24
    (3.79)
    1.63
    (1.87)
    5.5%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 0.
    • Recent form of Shonan Bellmare has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kawasaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Kawasaki is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Inactive) Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    02.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 2:0
    26.06.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Shonan Bellmare 1:1
    24.02.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2
    24.09.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 0:2
    18.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 2:3
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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