Gamba Osaka vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare
Result
4:0
03/05/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.60
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (255/333)86% (553/641)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.561.60
xG on target (xGOT)
3.180.98
Total shots
1515
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2332
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1011
Passes
77% (255/333)86% (553/641)
Long passes
49% (26/53)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
66% (52/79)75% (138/184)
Crosses
25% (3/12)26% (6/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.411.23
Throw-ins
1222
Fouls
1110
Tackles
62% (8/13)100% (9/9)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
4112
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.983.18
Goals prevented
0.98-0.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Hummet D. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, Kishimoto T. ,
  • 29', 3 - 0, Kishimoto T. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 35', 4 - 0, Nakatani S. , Handa R. (A),
  • 40', Ono K. , Fujii T. ,
  • 40', Oiwa K. 🟨,
  • 43', Onose K. , Hiraoka T. ,
  • 45+1', Usami T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mitsuta M. , Kurata S. ,
  • 46', Suzuki Y. , Kim Min-Tae ,
  • 50', Nakatani S. 🟨,
  • 60', Juan Alano , Meshino R. ,
  • 60', Usami T. , Minamino H. ,
  • 69', Ikeda M. , Luiz Phellype ,
  • 69', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,
  • 72', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,
  • 82', Handa R. , Nakano S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
43%
Draw
29.3%
Shonan Bellmare
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 28.9% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 28.7% 27.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.18)
    3.21
    (3.26)
    3.41
    (3.4)
    6.1%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Gamba Osaka will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Okunuki K. (Inactive) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Hiraoka T. (Hamstring Injury) Ishibashi S. (Ankle Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    21.08.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 3:2
    20.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 0:1
    01.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    19.08.2023 Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare 2:1
    01.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Gamba Osaka 4:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    29.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 2:1
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Yokohama FC - Gamba Osaka 1:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    2Machida27154842:261649
    3Vissel Kobe27154835:251049
    4Kyoto26146643:301348
    5Kashima Antlers26153838:251348
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima27144930:191146
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale26109741:32939
    9Cerezo Osaka26107940:37337
    10Okayama261061025:23236
    11Avispa Fukuoka2699827:26136
    12Gamba Osaka271041330:38-834
    13Shimizu S-Pulse26871130:35-531
    14Verdy26871116:25-931
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus26771230:37-728
    17Shonan Bellmare26671322:41-1925
    18Yokohama F. Marinos26661426:34-824
    19Yokohama FC26641616:32-1622
    20Albirex Niigata26481426:45-1920

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Shonan Bellmare?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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