Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama
Result
1:1
01/06/2025 at 02:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 19
Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.80
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
80% (360/449)73% (271/372)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.500.80
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.56
Total shots
119
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
80% (360/449)73% (271/372)
Long passes
38% (20/52)32% (19/59)
Passes in final third
70% (92/131)63% (86/137)
Crosses
7% (1/15)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.74
Throw-ins
2123
Fouls
1411
Tackles
61% (11/18)88% (14/16)
Duels won
4656
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.560.82
Goals prevented
-0.44-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Luiz Phellype 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Sato R. , Tabei R. (A),
  • 45+2', Okuno K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Okuno K. , Barada A. ,
  • 61', Hiraoka T. , Okuno H. ,
  • 64', Ichimi K. , Lucao ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Luiz Phellype , Hata T. (A),
  • 74', Kimura T. , Yanagi T. ,
  • 74', Kato H. , Matsumoto M. ,
  • 80', Tachi K. 🟨,
  • 81', Luiz Phellype , Oda Y. ,
  • 87', Tabei R. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 87', Esaka A. , Browne N. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
37.3%
Draw
30.4%
Fagiano Okayama
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 31.5% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 31.2% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.38)
    3.1
    (2.88)
    2.92
    (3)
    6.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Okayama will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 13).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    12.07.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 2:0
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama?
    It is being streamed on channel
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