Albirex Niigata vs Shonan Bellmare: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare
Result
2:1
25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 18
Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.43
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
86% (430/501)86% (472/551)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.24
Total shots
109
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
66
Passes
86% (430/501)86% (472/551)
Long passes
48% (26/54)51% (19/37)
Passes in final third
62% (56/91)73% (122/166)
Crosses
30% (3/10)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.800.65
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
66
Tackles
67% (8/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3839
Clearances
3913
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.241.69
Goals prevented
-0.84-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Luiz Phellype , Hata T. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Luiz Phellype , Oda Y. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Komi Y. , Taniguchi K. (A),
  • 80', Okumura J. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 80', Hiraoka T. , Barada A. ,
  • 81', Okuno K. , Matsumura S. ,
  • 81', Hata T. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 83', Taniguchi K. , Kasai K. ,
  • 89', Komi Y. , Yamura K. ,
  • 89', Horigome Y. , Hayakawa F. ,
  • 90+1', Ikeda M. , Nemoto R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
40.6%
Draw
28.6%
Shonan Bellmare
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 29.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 28.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.42)
    3.28
    (3.23)
    3.06
    (2.96)
    5.8%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Niigata (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1.
    • Niigata is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Shonan Bellmare has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Shonan Bellmare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury) Ze Ricardo (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 3:1
    19.05.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 2:1
    12.08.2023 Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare 2:2
    03.06.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 2:2
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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