Result
0:2
16/06/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 58% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 57% (40/70) | 75% (39/52) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 39% (15/38) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 11/16 | 8/12 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 27% (14/52) | 46% (32/70) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 61% (23/38) | 55% (22/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/12 | 5/16 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 21 | 49 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 37 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (56/110) | 60% (54/90) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (36/90) | 49% (54/110) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (92/200) | 54% (108/200) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 67% (8/12) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 42% (5/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 46% (11/24) | 54% (13/24) |
Chances of winning
Mackenzie McDonald
61.7% | Shintaro Mochizuki
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.42) |
|
2.43 ↓
(2.62) |
6.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
What is the prediction for Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki?
- Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- McDonald is ranked ATP: 128. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 138.
- Recent performances by McDonald have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mochizuki has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- McDonald is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mackenzie McDonald won against Shintaro Mochizuki?
Mackenzie McDonald has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shintaro Mochizuki won against Mackenzie McDonald?
Shintaro Mochizuki has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
02.11.2025
Shintaro Mochizuki
-
Mackenzie McDonald
1:2
05.06.2024
Mackenzie McDonald
-
Shintaro Mochizuki
1:2
29.09.2022
Shintaro Mochizuki
-
Mackenzie McDonald
0:2
Latest results of Mackenzie McDonald
Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | McCabe J. (Q) | Loffhagen G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Trungelliti M. (SE) | Smith C. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pinnington Jones J. (WC) | Nava E. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Peniston R. (WC) | Galan D. E. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Holt B. (3) | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Spizzirri E. (LL) | Choinski J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Herbert P. | Mochizuki S. (SE) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Krueger M. | Boyer T. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cazaux A. (7) | Mannarino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Landaluce M. | Budkov Kjaer N. (NG) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Atmane T. | Gigante M. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Fognini F. | Fery A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Trotter J. K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Schoolkate T. | Blockx A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Harris L. (PR) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Grenier H. (Q) | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | McCabe J. | Smith C. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Nava E. | Peniston R. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Faria J. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mochizuki S. | Boyer T. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Mannarino A. | Landaluce M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Atmane T. | Fery A. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Schoolkate T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Harris L. (RET.) | Cilic M. (2) | 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Smith C. | Nava E. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Faria J. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Landaluce M. | Atmane T. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Barrios Vera T. (6) | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Smith C. | Mochizuki S. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. | Cilic M. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Mochizuki S. | Cilic M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
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