Colton Smith vs Shintaro Mochizuki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Nottingham Challenger Men Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki
Result
0:2
20/06/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - Semi-finals
Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
70%58%
1st Serve Points Won
55% (17/31)81% (25/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (5/13)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/4)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
32% (10/31)45% (14/31)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (10/22)62% (8/13)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)100% (4/4)
Service Points Won
49% (21/43)69% (36/52)
Return Points Won
31% (16/52)51% (22/43)
Total Points Won
39% (37/95)61% (58/95)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)100% (8/8)
Return Games Won
0% (0/8)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Colton Smith
56.5%
Shintaro Mochizuki
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Colton Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.56)

    2.17
    (2.22)
    6.6%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked ATP: 146. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 164.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Smith might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Colton Smith - Shintaro Mochizuki were as follows:
    10.06.2025 Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith 2:1
    05.08.2024 Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith 0:2
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1McCabe J. (Q)Loffhagen G. (WC)2 : 0
    2Trungelliti M. (SE)Smith C. (LL)1 : 2
    3Pinnington Jones J. (WC)Nava E.1 : 2
    4Peniston R. (WC)Galan D. E. (5)2 : 1
    5Holt B. (3)Faria J.0 : 2
    6Spizzirri E. (LL)Choinski J. (Q)1 : 2
    7Herbert P.Mochizuki S. (SE)0 : 2
    8Krueger M.Boyer T. (8)0 : 2
    9Cazaux A. (7)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    10Landaluce M.Budkov Kjaer N. (NG)2 : 1
    11Atmane T.Gigante M. (Q)2 : 1
    12Fognini F.Fery A. (Q)0 : 2
    13Barrios Vera T. (6)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    14Schoolkate T.Blockx A.2 : 0
    15Harris L. (PR)Royer V.2 : 0
    16Grenier H. (Q)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1McCabe J.Smith C.1 : 2
    2Nava E.Peniston R.2 : 0
    3Faria J.Choinski J.2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Boyer T. (8)2 : 0
    5Mannarino A.Landaluce M.1 : 2
    6Atmane T.Fery A.2 : 1
    7Barrios Vera T. (6)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Harris L. (RET.)Cilic M. (2)1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Smith C.Nava E.2 : 1
    2Faria J.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    3Landaluce M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    4Barrios Vera T. (6)Cilic M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Smith C.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    2Landaluce M.Cilic M. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Mochizuki S.Cilic M. (2)0 : 2
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