Shintaro Mochizuki vs Colton Smith: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Lincoln Challenger Men Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith
Result
0:2
05/08/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lincoln (USA) - Qualification, hard - Final
  • Referee: Eshragh Jahromi A. (Irn)
Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
24
Double Faults
31
1st Serve Percentage
57%69%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (22/35)73% (29/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (11/26)67% (12/18)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
28% (11/40)37% (13/35)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (6/18)58% (15/26)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)57% (4/7)
Max Points In Row
45
Service Points Won
54% (33/61)71% (41/58)
Return Points Won
29% (17/58)46% (28/61)
Total Points Won
42% (50/119)58% (69/119)
Max Games In Row
18
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)100% (9/9)
Return Games Won
0% (0/9)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
28% (5/18)72% (13/18)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
55.1%
Colton Smith
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.
  • Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colton Smith's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.48)

    2.07
    (2.47)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki - Colton Smith?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 160. Smith is ranked ATP: 829.
    • Mochizuki is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Smith in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Smith to win the game is with odds 2.09.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Eubanks C. (1)Spizzirri E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Fearnley J.Brouwer G.2 : 0
    3Lapadat J. (WC)Smith C. (Q)0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (Alt)Gojo B. (8)2 : 0
    5Mayot H. (3)Krueger M.2 : 0
    6Boyer T.Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    7Shepp A. (WC)Zhukayev B.0 : 2
    8Mochizuki S. (LL)Bu Y. (5)0 : 2
    9Yevseyev D. (7)Williams C.0 : 2
    10Kozlov S. (Q)Basavareddy N. (Alt)1 : 2
    11Jubb P.Torres Espinosa J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Langmo C. (Q)van Assche L. (4)0 : 2
    13Nava E. (6)Pinnington Jones J. (Q)0 : 2
    14Wong C.Quinn E. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Tu L.Matsuda R. (Q)2 : 0
    16Baris O.Takahashi Y. (RET.) (LL)0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Eubanks C. (1)Fearnley J.1 : 2
    2Smith C.Mayo A.0 : 2
    3Mayot H. (3)Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    4Zhukayev B.Bu Y. (5)0 : 2
    5Williams C.Basavareddy N.0 : 2
    6Jubb P.van Assche L. (4)2 : 0
    7Pinnington Jones J.Wong C.1 : 2
    8Tu L.Baris O.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fearnley J.Mayo A.2 : 1
    2Schoolkate T.Bu Y. (5)0 : 2
    3Basavareddy N.Jubb P.2 : 0
    4Wong C.Tu L.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Fearnley J.Bu Y. (5)2 : 1
    2Basavareddy N.Wong C.1 : 2

    Final
    1Fearnley J.Wong C.2 : 0
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