Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex Rybakov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Sumter Challenger Men Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov
Result
2:0
12/08/2025 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sumter, hard - 1/16-finals
Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
94
1st Serve Percentage
52%65%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (33/44)55% (33/60)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (18/41)55% (18/33)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
45% (27/60)25% (11/44)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (15/33)56% (23/41)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)30% (3/10)
Winners
2625
Unforced Errors
4136
Net Points Won
60% (15/25)67% (16/24)
Service Points Won
60% (51/85)55% (51/93)
Return Points Won
45% (42/93)40% (34/85)
Total Points Won
52% (93/178)48% (85/178)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (9/12)67% (8/12)
Return Games Won
33% (4/12)25% (3/12)
Total Games Won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Shintaro Mochizuki
75.2%
Alex Rybakov
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.
  • Alex Rybakov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Rybakov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Rybakov than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Shintaro Mochizuki - Alex Rybakov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.26
    (1.36)

    3.74
    (3)
    6.3%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 120. Rybakov is ranked ATP: 311.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mochizuki is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Shintaro Mochizuki
    Latest results of Alex Rybakov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bergs Z. (1)Bye
    2Lajal M. (Alt)Kirchheimer S. (LL)2 : 1
    3Bigun K. (WC)Sakamoto R. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Habib H.Faria J. (9)1 : 2
    5Bellucci M. (3)Bye
    6Rocha H. (Alt)Damm M. (Q)2 : 1
    7McCabe J.Fearnley J. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    8Seggerman R. (RET.) (Q)Klein L. (8)0 : 1
    9Mochizuki S. (7)Rybakov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Poling K. (LL)Evans D.2 : 1
    11Trotter J. K. (Alt)Landaluce M.2 : 0
    12ByeMisolic F. (4)
    13Basilashvili N. (6)Eubanks C.2 : 1
    14Blanch Dar. (WC)Cassone M. (Alt)1 : 2
    15Nishioka Y.Shimabukuro S. (Alt)0 : 2
    16ByeShevchenko A. (5)

    1/8-finals
    1Bergs Z. (1)Lajal M.0 : 2
    2Bigun K. (RET.)Faria J. (9)1 : 1
    3Bellucci M. (3)Rocha H.2 : 0
    4McCabe J.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    5Mochizuki S. (7)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Trotter J. K.Misolic F. (4)0 : 2
    7Basilashvili N. (6)Cassone M.2 : 1
    8Shimabukuro S.Shevchenko A. (5)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Lajal M.Faria J. (9)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M. (3)Klein L. (8)2 : 0
    3Mochizuki S. (7)Misolic F. (4)2 : 1
    4Basilashvili N. (RET.) (6)Shevchenko A. (5)1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Faria J. (9)Bellucci M. (3)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S. (7)Shevchenko A. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M. (3)Shevchenko A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
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