Shinnik vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian FNL Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FNL - Round 7
  • Referee: Kovalenko G. (Rus)
Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
81
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
81
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
30
Corner Kicks
92
Free Kicks
612
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Gurchenko D. , Puzanov S. ,
  • 58', Morozov K. , Tarba Z. ,
  • 61', Malakhov A. , Kosogorov A. ,
  • 62', Bozov N. 🟨,
  • 69', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 72', Golubev A. , Porokhov I. ,
  • 72', Gongapshev A. , Shipunov T. ,
  • 78', Rodionov I. , Gorelov P. ,
  • 79', Antonov A. , Lozhkin V. ,
  • 84', Samoilov D. , Mironov D. ,
  • 84', Kul R. , Martovoy D. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Mironov D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shinnik
35.7%
Draw
31.3%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 31.2% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 30.4% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.89)
    3.03
    (3)
    2.88
    (2.58)
    5.4%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Chernomorets is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 0:2
    03.11.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 0:1
    18.03.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Shinnik 1:0
    09.09.2023 Shinnik - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 2:1
    Latest results of Shinnik
    23.08.2025 Shinnik - Rodina Moscow 1:1
    02.08.2025 Ufa - Shinnik 1:0
    25.07.2025 Arsenal Tula - Shinnik 1:1
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1182120:11926
    2Ural1173119:81124
    3Fakel Voronezh1172210:7323
    4Chelyabinsk1163218:10821
    5R. Volgograd1163218:51321
    6Kamaz1154216:12419
    7Rodina Moscow1144317:13416
    8Neftekhimik1135312:13-114
    9Arsenal Tula1135317:14314
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl113537:7014
    11SKA Khabarovsk1134410:12-213
    12Ulyanovsk1132611:20-911
    13Ufa1124513:14-110
    14Yenisey112457:13-610
    15Chernomorets Novorossijsk1123613:16-39
    16Saratov111555:11-68
    17Torpedo Moscow111376:16-106
    18FK Chayka111379:26-176

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