Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Toyota Stadium (Toyota City).

: J1 League - Round 21

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.65
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
76% (285/376)	82% (369/451)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	0.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.73	0.59
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
4	5
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
15	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
11	17
Passes
76% (285/376)	82% (369/451)
Long passes
37% (23/62)	24% (12/49)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)	75% (158/211)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	1.07
Throw-ins
23	25
Fouls
17	11
Tackles
67% (10/15)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
48	48
Clearances
22	19
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	1
xGOT faced
0.59	0.73
Goals prevented
-0.41	-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Morishima T. 🟨,
41', Takahashi Y. ↓, Sumiyoshi J. ↑,
45+2', Sato Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Izumi R. 🟨,
61', Morishima T. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. ⚽, Mateus (A),
69', Uno Z. ↓, Yajima S. ↑,
69', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Nakahara H. ↑,
73', Nagai K. ↓, Asano Y. ↑,
73', Izumi R. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
80', Capixaba ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
80', Kitagawa K. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Chiba K. ⚽, Nakahara H. (A),
90+1', Brunetti M. 🟨,
90+1', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
90+2', Hara T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
90+2', Tokumoto S. ↓, Junker K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Nagoya Grampus
40.7%

Draw
29.6%

Shimizu S-Pulse
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.39)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	5.6% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 46.1% – 91.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
Nagoya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S. (Inactive) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Nagoya Grampus has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Nagoya Grampus?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:

03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

15.06.2025 Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Veroskronos Tsuno 3:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0 ✺

24.05.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Nagoya Grampus 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

15.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka 0:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Matsumoto Yamaga 4:2 ✺

01.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse 4:2 ✺

25.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe 3:2 ✺

17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	22	13	2	7	32:20	12	41
2	Kashiwa Reysol	22	11	8	3	30:20	10	41
3	Kyoto	22	11	5	6	36:26	10	38
4	Vissel Kobe	21	11	4	6	27:21	6	37
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	21	11	3	7	26:17	9	36
6	Kawasaki Frontale	22	9	8	5	35:23	12	35
7	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
8	Machida	22	10	4	8	30:25	5	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	22	9	6	7	34:29	5	33
10	Okayama	22	8	6	8	19:19	0	30
11	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
12	Gamba Osaka	22	8	4	10	26:30	-4	28
13	Nagoya Grampus	22	7	6	9	28:30	-2	27
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	22	7	6	9	27:29	-2	27
15	Verdy	22	7	6	9	15:23	-8	27
16	FC Tokyo	22	7	5	10	24:31	-7	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	21	6	5	10	16:26	-10	23
18	Yokohama FC	22	5	4	13	14:27	-13	19
19	Albirex Niigata	22	4	7	11	23:37	-14	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	22	3	6	13	19:32	-13	15

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan