Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.65
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
76% (285/376)82% (369/451)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.59
Total shots
911
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
76% (285/376)82% (369/451)
Long passes
37% (23/62)24% (12/49)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)75% (158/211)
Crosses
25% (4/16)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.07
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1711
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.590.73
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Morishima T. 🟨,
  • 41', Takahashi Y. , Sumiyoshi J. ,
  • 45+2', Sato Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Izumi R. 🟨,
  • 61', Morishima T. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. , Mateus (A),
  • 69', Uno Z. , Yajima S. ,
  • 69', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 73', Nagai K. , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Izumi R. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 80', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 80', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Chiba K. , Nakahara H. (A),
  • 90+1', Brunetti M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hara T. , Ono M. ,
  • 90+2', Tokumoto S. , Junker K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
40.7%
Draw
29.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.2% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.4% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.2)
    3.19
    (3.39)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    5.6%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
    • Nagoya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S. (Inactive) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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