Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus
Result
0:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.04
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
79% (340/428)77% (294/381)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.26
Total shots
811
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
79% (340/428)77% (294/381)
Long passes
33% (15/45)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
70% (102/146)60% (67/111)
Crosses
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.19
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
1712
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
3960
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.260.00
Goals prevented
-1.740.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Sato Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Inagaki S. , Uchida T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 46', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Izumi R. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Shiihashi K. , Yamagishi Y. (A),
  • 55', Yumiba M. , Yajima S. ,
  • 61', Izumi R. , Morishima T. ,
  • 62', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
  • 64', Kitagawa K. , Ahmedov A. ,
  • 64', Inui T. , Shimamoto Y. ,
  • 64', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 73', Mateus , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Yamahara R. , Takagi S. ,
  • 85', Sato Y. , Miya D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
36.8%
Draw
30.8%
Nagoya Grampus
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 30.3% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 30% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimizu S-Pulse's form might have worsened.
  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.23)
    3.08
    (3.11)
    2.91
    (3.43)
    6.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - New National Stadium./
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Shimizu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nagoya is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagoya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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