Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus
Result
0:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 14
Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.04
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
79% (340/428)77% (294/381)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.731.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.26
Total shots
811
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
79% (340/428)77% (294/381)
Long passes
33% (15/45)33% (20/61)
Passes in final third
70% (102/146)60% (67/111)
Crosses
6% (1/17)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.19
Throw-ins
1722
Fouls
1712
Tackles
64% (7/11)65% (11/17)
Duels won
3960
Clearances
2528
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
1.260.00
Goals prevented
-1.740.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', Sato Y. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Inagaki S. , Uchida T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Tokumoto S. , Nakayama K. ,
  • 46', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 48', 0 - 2, Izumi R. ,
  • 50', 0 - 3, Shiihashi K. , Yamagishi Y. (A),
  • 55', Yumiba M. , Yajima S. ,
  • 61', Izumi R. , Morishima T. ,
  • 62', Kitagawa K. 🟨,
  • 64', Kitagawa K. , Ahmedov A. ,
  • 64', Inui T. , Shimamoto Y. ,
  • 64', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 73', Mateus , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Yamahara R. , Takagi S. ,
  • 85', Sato Y. , Miya D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
36.8%
Draw
30.8%
Nagoya Grampus
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 30.3% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 30% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimizu S-Pulse's form might have worsened.
  • Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimizu S-Pulse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagoya Grampus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.23)
    3.08
    (3.11)
    2.91
    (3.43)
    6.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - New National Stadium./
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Shimizu is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nagoya is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nagoya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Junker K. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1.3:1.8).
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers16111426:121434
    2Kashiwa Reysol1586118:10830
    3Kyoto1784524:21328
    4Urawa Reds1675418:13526
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima1582514:11326
    6Gamba Osaka1672719:21-223
    7Cerezo Osaka1664624:22222
    8Shimizu S-Pulse1664621:19222
    9Vissel Kobe1463513:12121
    10Machida1663717:18-121
    11Avispa Fukuoka1663714:16-221
    12Shonan Bellmare1663712:19-721
    13Verdy1655611:16-520
    14FC Tokyo1554615:17-219
    15Okayama1654711:13-219
    16Kawasaki Frontale1346320:13718
    17Nagoya Grampus1644818:24-616
    18Yokohama FC154389:15-615
    19Albirex Niigata1527616:21-513
    20Yokohama F. Marinos1315711:18-78

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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