Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
1:1
21/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 21
Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.65
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
76% (285/376)82% (369/451)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.680.65
xG on target (xGOT)
0.730.59
Total shots
911
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
45
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
1521
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1117
Passes
76% (285/376)82% (369/451)
Long passes
37% (23/62)24% (12/49)
Passes in final third
70% (96/138)75% (158/211)
Crosses
25% (4/16)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.07
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1711
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4848
Clearances
2219
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.590.73
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Morishima T. 🟨,
  • 41', Takahashi Y. , Sumiyoshi J. ,
  • 45+2', Sato Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Izumi R. 🟨,
  • 61', Morishima T. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Yamagishi Y. , Mateus (A),
  • 69', Uno Z. , Yajima S. ,
  • 69', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 73', Nagai K. , Asano Y. ,
  • 73', Izumi R. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 80', Capixaba , Nishihara M. ,
  • 80', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Chiba K. , Nakahara H. (A),
  • 90+1', Brunetti M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Yamagishi Y. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hara T. , Ono M. ,
  • 90+2', Tokumoto S. , Junker K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
40.7%
Draw
29.6%
Shimizu S-Pulse
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 28.2% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 28.4% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.2)
    3.19
    (3.39)
    3.27
    (3.4)
    5.6%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Shimizu will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 3.
    • Nagoya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Shimizu's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nagoya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Mori S. (Inactive) Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Nagoya Grampus 0:3
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers30184845:271858
    2Kyoto30167753:322155
    3Kashiwa Reysol301510543:291455
    4Vissel Kobe30166837:261154
    5Machida30156946:321451
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima30156935:211451
    7Kawasaki Frontale30139853:391448
    8Urawa Reds30138939:32747
    9Cerezo Osaka301110947:42543
    10Gamba Osaka301341339:44-543
    11Shimizu S-Pulse301091133:36-339
    12Okayama301161328:33-539
    13Avispa Fukuoka309101130:34-437
    14FC Tokyo301071332:42-1037
    15Nagoya Grampus30981338:43-535
    16Verdy30981320:31-1135
    17Yokohama F. Marinos30771628:38-1028
    18Yokohama FC30761720:36-1627
    19Shonan Bellmare30671727:53-2625
    20Albirex Niigata30481827:50-2320

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Shimizu S-Pulse?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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