Shimizu S-Pulse vs Kashiwa Reysol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol
Result
0:2
28/06/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 22
Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.622.18
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
85% (334/391)87% (394/455)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.622.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.38
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2525
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1112
Passes
85% (334/391)87% (394/455)
Long passes
35% (11/31)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
73% (74/101)85% (104/123)
Crosses
43% (10/23)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.06
Throw-ins
2515
Fouls
1211
Tackles
50% (8/16)54% (13/24)
Duels won
4751
Clearances
2035
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.381.78
Goals prevented
-0.661.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Kubo T. , Watai M. (A),
  • 10', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 2, Toshima S. , Koyamatsu T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Harada W. 🟨,
  • 65', Watai M. , Segawa Y. ,
  • 66', Mitsumaru H. , Tanaka H. ,
  • 66', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 67', Matsuzaki K. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 68', Hidaka H. , Yajima S. ,
  • 70', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 73', Kitagawa K. (Pen),
  • 76', Uno Z. , Kotake S. ,
  • 76', Kitagawa K. , Chiba K. ,
  • 78', Capixaba 🟨,
  • 83', Brunetti M. , Ohata R. ,
  • 88', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 90+4', Nakagawa N. , Baba S. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
33.1%
Draw
27.8%
Kashiwa Reysol
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 26.3% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (3)
    3.4
    (3.59)
    2.39
    (2.31)
    5.9%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Shimizu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Kashiwa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Harakawa R. (Inactive) Kumasaka K. (Inactive) Tezuka K. (Injury) Yamada Y. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1.3:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Kashiwa Reysol?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiaPSJ TV
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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