Shenzhen Peng City vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Result
1:0
01/05/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 10
Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.41
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (293/371)84% (380/450)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.10
Total shots
913
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
37
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
79% (293/371)84% (380/450)
Long passes
38% (25/66)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
66% (61/92)67% (67/100)
Crosses
23% (6/26)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.040.41
Throw-ins
1826
Fouls
1010
Tackles
62% (13/21)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
2926
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.101.61
Goals prevented
0.100.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Xie Weijun 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Dugalic R. , Kartsev E. (A),
  • 45', Salvador C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Xie Weijun , Wang Qiuming ,
  • 46', Li Yongjia , Quiles A. ,
  • 46', Wang Zhenghao , Xadas ,
  • 55', Zhang Yudong , Sarkaria M. ,
  • 59', Garcia E. , Orr M. ,
  • 60', Yang Zihao , Ademi A. ,
  • 67', Jiang Zhipeng 🟨,
  • 75', Jiang Zhipeng , Li Zhi ,
  • 75', Abduweli Behram , Zhang Yujie ,
  • 77', Guo Hao , Liu J. ,
  • 89', Zhang Yujie 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ji J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Ademi A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shenzhen Peng City
41.6%
Draw
28.7%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 26.3% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 26.6% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shenzhen Peng City's performance.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shenzhen Peng City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (3.18)
    3.31
    (3.58)
    3.16
    (2.13)
    4.8%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • Shenzhen Peng City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is playing unstable (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
    • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Shi Yan (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Yu Rui (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Ademi A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7 (average 0:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Shenzhen Peng City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 0:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City 3:0
    10.03.2024 Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0:4
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Shenhua14102231:151632
    2Chengdu Rongcheng1493225:111430
    3Beijing Guoan1385030:141629
    4Shanghai Port1374228:181025
    5Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1464421:20122
    6Shandong Taishan1463528:24421
    7Yunnan Yukun1454519:21-219
    8Qingdao West Coast1346320:22-218
    9Zhejiang Professional1445526:24217
    10Dalian Yingbo1445514:21-717
    11Wuhan Three Towns1343617:24-715
    12Henan Songshan Longmen1342720:22-214
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1342715:26-1114
    14Meizhou Hakka1433820:29-912
    15Qingdao Hainiu1415813:21-88
    16Changchun Yatai14121112:27-155

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shenzhen Peng City - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
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