Shelbourne vs St Patricks Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic
Result
2:1
09/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 15
  • Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)
Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.37
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
81% (377/465)81% (359/441)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.291.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.071.11
Total shots
916
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1218
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
911
Passes
81% (377/465)81% (359/441)
Long passes
45% (32/71)47% (34/73)
Passes in final third
63% (97/155)70% (85/122)
Crosses
6% (1/17)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.121.03
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
119
Tackles
76% (16/21)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4048
Clearances
2928
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.111.07
Goals prevented
0.11-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Wilson T. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Melia M. , Leavy K. (A),
  • 45+1', Lunney J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Bone S. , Gannon S. ,
  • 46', Wilson T. , Norris J. ,
  • 46', Martin J. , Chapman E. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Wood H. , Caffrey E. (A),
  • 51', Forrester C. , Baggley B. ,
  • 51', Coyle M. 🟨,
  • 53', Hoare S. 🟨,
  • 79', Elbouzedi Z. , Mulraney J. ,
  • 79', Keena A. , Power S. ,
  • 80', Wood H. , O'Sullivan J. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, McInroy K. ,
  • 90+1', Leavy K. , Kavanagh B. ,
  • 90+1', Sjoberg A. , Carty C. ,
  • 90+5', Mulraney J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Odubeko A. , Kelly D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shelbourne
39.1%
Draw
30.5%
St Patricks Athletic
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 28.6% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3% 27.8% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shelbourne's performance.
  • St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St Patricks Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shelbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St Patricks Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (3.2)
    3.09
    (3.25)
    3.07
    (2.2)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Shelbourne will win! (4 of 5 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 3.
    • Shelbourne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, St Patricks has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shelbourne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 1.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
    04.04.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne 0:0
    30.09.2024 Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic 2:3
    20.05.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne 1:2
    26.04.2024 Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic 1:0
    15.03.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne 1:2
    Latest results of Shelbourne
    Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers1575324:141026
    2Derry City1582520:17326
    3Drogheda1566321:16524
    4Bohemians1580719:18124
    5St. Patricks1564520:14622
    6Shelbourne1557318:16222
    7Waterford1570815:23-821
    8Galway1555519:19020
    9Cork City1526717:25-812
    10Sligo Rovers15231019:30-119

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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