Derry City vs Shelbourne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Derry City - Shelbourne
Result
1:1
19/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 31
  • Referee: McLaughlin P. (Irl)
Derry City - Shelbourne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.39
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
74% (320/432)79% (372/473)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.291.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.551.37
Total shots
109
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
36
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
1316
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
144
Passes
74% (320/432)79% (372/473)
Long passes
41% (38/93)37% (33/89)
Passes in final third
57% (78/136)61% (64/105)
Crosses
6% (1/18)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.70
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
414
Tackles
94% (15/16)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5430
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.370.55
Goals prevented
0.37-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, O'Reilly A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Akinyemi D. , Mullen D. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Odubeko A. ,
  • 65', Winchester C. , Whyte G. ,
  • 67', Coote A. , Boyd S. ,
  • 67', Lunney J. , Henry-Francis J. ,
  • 74', Odubeko A. 🟨,
  • 76', Kelly D. , Caffrey E. ,
  • 76', Bannon A. , Dummigan C. ,
  • 76', Benson R. , Connolly M. ,
  • 85', McInroy K. , Coyle M. ,
  • 85', Odubeko A. , Martin J. ,
  • 89', Bone S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derry City
40.8%
Draw
31.1%
Shelbourne
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.9% 29.2% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 28.7% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derry City's form might have worsened.
  • Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Derry City - Shelbourne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.03)
    3.03
    (3.25)
    3.38
    (3.98)
    5.8%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Derry City - Shelbourne?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Derry will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derry: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derry won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Shelbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Derry will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derry: Boyce L. (Hamstring Injury) Boyce R. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Shelbourne: Kearns C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Derry won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derry won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Shelbourne were as follows:
    20.06.2025 Shelbourne - Derry City 0:1
    02.05.2025 Derry City - Shelbourne 2:0
    14.02.2025 Shelbourne - Derry City 3:1
    01.11.2024 Derry City - Shelbourne 0:1
    14.09.2024 Derry City - Shelbourne 2:0
    Latest results of Derry City
    Latest results of Shelbourne
    07.09.2025 Shelbourne - Galway United 1:0
    28.08.2025 Linfield - Shelbourne 0:2
    22.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne Postponed
    21.08.2025 Shelbourne - Linfield 3:1
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers31189453:272663
    2Derry City32149946:37951
    3Bohemians321551242:33950
    4Drogheda321114735:31447
    5St. Patricks3212101040:31946
    6Shelbourne311113739:33646
    7Sligo Rovers321071538:48-1037
    8Galway328101433:41-834
    9Waterford321041836:56-2034
    10Cork City324111731:56-2523

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Derry City - Shelbourne?
    It is being streamed on channel
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