Mark Selby vs Shaun Murphy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Snooker British Open Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy
Result
1:6
27/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : British Open - Semi-finals
Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Mark Selby
54.3%
Shaun Murphy
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 46.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mark Selby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Shaun Murphy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaun Murphy than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.66)

    2.03
    (2.24)
    5.8%
    (5.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Selby is ranked World Ranking: 10. Murphy is ranked World Ranking: 16.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selby won 2.
    • Selby has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Murphy is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Murphy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Selby won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 93:77. (average 5.8:4.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy were as follows:
    29.07.2025 Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy 6:0
    14.11.2024 Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy 4:2
    19.07.2024 Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy 8:10
    01.04.2023 Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy 9:10
    21.02.2023 Mark Selby - Shaun Murphy 3:6
    Latest results of Mark Selby
    26.09.2025 Mark Williams - Mark Selby 3:5
    25.09.2025 Chang Bingyu - Mark Selby 0:4
    25.09.2025 Joe O`Connor - Mark Selby 3:4
    24.09.2025 Liu Hongyu - Mark Selby 3:4
    22.09.2025 David Grace - Mark Selby 1:4
    Latest results of Shaun Murphy
    Draw
    Main

    1/32-finals
    1Moody S.Wilson K.4 : 2
    2Burns I.Fu M.4 : 3
    3Boiko I.Craigie S.4 : 2
    4Wu Y.Carter A.3 : 4
    5Zhang A.Yulu B.4 : 3
    6Dikme U.Xiao G.2 : 4
    7McGill A.Wilson G.4 : 1
    8Page J.Lines O.1 : 4
    9Davies R.Davies L. J.2 : 4
    10Xu Yi ChenLilley D.3 : 4
    11Surety Z.Carty A.4 : 0
    12Tahir H.Heathcote L.2 : 4
    13Lisowski J.Higgins J.3 : 4
    14Bingham S.Zhao X.1 : 4
    15Mertens B.Evans R.4 : 0
    16He G.McGuigan R.3 : 4
    17Cheung K. W.Stevens M.4 : 3
    18Peifan L.Selt M.4 : 1
    19Williams M.Lam S.4 : 3
    20Revesz B.Allen M.1 : 4
    21Woollaston B.Saengkham N.3 : 4
    22Bingyu C.Zehuang L.4 : 1
    23O'Connor J.Taylor Al.4 : 1
    24Liu H.Selby M.3 : 4
    25Donaldson S.Murphy S.1 : 4
    26Robertson N.Si X.4 : 1
    27Crowley L.Trump J.1 : 4
    28O'Donnell M.Akani S.4 : 2
    29Milkins R.Kowalski A.2 : 4
    30Mann M.Yang G.4 : 3
    31Hawkins B.Yuan S.4 : 0
    32Sarkhosh A.Jones Jak0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1Moody S.Burns I.4 : 2
    2Boiko I.Carter A.0 : 4
    3Zhang A.Xiao G.3 : 4
    4McGill A.Lines O.4 : 1
    5Davies L. J.Lilley D.4 : 2
    6Surety Z.Heathcote L.0 : 4
    7Higgins J.Zhao X.4 : 2
    8Mertens B.McGuigan R.4 : 0
    9Cheung K. W.Peifan L.1 : 4
    10Williams M.Allen M.4 : 3
    11Saengkham N.Bingyu C.3 : 4
    12O'Connor J.Selby M.3 : 4
    13Murphy S.Robertson N.4 : 1
    14Trump J.O'Donnell M.4 : 2
    15Kowalski A.Mann M.2 : 4
    16Hawkins B.Jones Jak4 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Moody S.Carter A.4 : 3
    2Xiao G.McGill A.2 : 4
    3Davies L. J.Heathcote L.2 : 4
    4Higgins J.Mertens B.4 : 1
    5Peifan L.Williams M.1 : 4
    6Bingyu C.Selby M.0 : 4
    7Murphy S.Trump J.4 : 3
    8Mann M.Hawkins B.4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Moody S.McGill A.3 : 5
    2Heathcote L.Higgins J.2 : 5
    3Williams M.Selby M.3 : 5
    4Murphy S.Mann M.5 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1McGill A.Higgins J.6 : 3
    2Selby M.Murphy S.1 : 6

    Final
    1McGill A.Murphy S.7 : 10
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