Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan
Result
1:2
01/05/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 10
Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.37
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
88% (451/515)76% (282/373)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.021.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.231.94
Total shots
1913
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
613
Passes
88% (451/515)76% (282/373)
Long passes
52% (26/50)29% (17/58)
Passes in final third
82% (125/153)61% (59/97)
Crosses
26% (9/34)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.50
Throw-ins
2614
Fouls
136
Tackles
75% (15/20)80% (16/20)
Duels won
5358
Clearances
2837
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.941.23
Goals prevented
-0.060.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Wang Gang , Wu Shaocong ,
  • 23', Yusup Umidjan 🟨,
  • 31', Matheus Jussa 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Liu Ruofan , Mateus Vital (A),
  • 42', 1 - 1, Abreu F. , Lin Liangming (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Yan Junling , Chen Wei ,
  • 55', 1 - 2, Lin Liangming , Serginho (A),
  • 60', Liu Ruofan , Wu Lei ,
  • 64', Zhang Yuning , Wang Ziming ,
  • 64', Serginho , Zhang Yuan ,
  • 72', Xu Xin , Kuai Jiwen ,
  • 72', Yusup Umidjan , Zhang Linpeng ,
  • 80', Dawhan , Fang Hao ,
  • 80', Abreu F. , Muhmet N. ,
  • 82', Fang Hao 🟨,
  • 85', Mateus Vital , Li X. ,

Chances of winning


Shanghai Port
40.2%
Draw
24.3%
Beijing Guoan
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 24.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 24.7% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanghai Port's form might have worsened.
  • Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanghai Port, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.79)
    3.85
    (3.84)
    2.64
    (4.08)
    7.1%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shanghai Port will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Port: 9.6%70.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Shanghai Port won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Shanghai Port will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Shanghai Port: Wang Zhenao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Dawhan (Injury) Han Jiaqi (Injury) Spajic U. (Injury) Zhang Xizhe (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Shanghai Port: Browning Tyias (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: He Yupeng (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Port won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:20 (average 1.6:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Shanghai Port won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:12 (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan 5:1
    05.04.2024 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port 2:2
    20.10.2023 Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan 1:2
    29.06.2023 Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Port 1:2
    05.10.2022 Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan 0:1
    Latest results of Shanghai Port
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng23155348:183050
    2Shanghai Shenhua23154449:262349
    3Shanghai Port23146353:322148
    4Beijing Guoan23146351:321948
    5Shandong Taishan23124751:351640
    6Zhejiang Professional2397746:361034
    7Tianjin Jinmen Tiger2397730:32-234
    8Yunnan Yukun2386935:44-930
    9Dalian Yingbo2285921:32-1129
    10Qingdao West Coast2269729:34-527
    11Wuhan Three Towns23661128:42-1424
    12Henan Songshan Longmen23651238:41-323
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng23621528:50-2220
    14Meizhou Hakka23451428:49-2117
    15Qingdao Hainiu23371321:35-1416
    16Changchun Yatai23441519:37-1816

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League

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