Shamrock Rovers vs St Patricks Athletic: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Irish Premier Division Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic
Result
4:0
19/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier Division - Round 24
Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.06
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
107
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
86% (418/486)84% (276/329)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.022.06
xG on target (xGOT)
3.381.84
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
47
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
108
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
1624
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
127
Passes
86% (418/486)84% (276/329)
Long passes
49% (33/68)35% (11/31)
Passes in final third
67% (56/84)78% (91/117)
Crosses
9% (1/11)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.341.18
Throw-ins
1110
Fouls
712
Tackles
76% (13/17)44% (7/16)
Duels won
4337
Clearances
1725
Interceptions
102
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
76
xGOT faced
1.843.38
Goals prevented
1.84-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Noonan M. , Burke G. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Burke G. , Grace L. (A),
  • 38', Lennon J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 50', 3 - 0, Burke G. , Grant D. (A),
  • 56', Keena A. , Mulraney J. ,
  • 56', Elbouzedi Z. , McClelland J. ,
  • 60', Redmond J. 🟨,
  • 61', Grace L. , Clarke T. ,
  • 68', Noonan M. , Greene A. ,
  • 68', Nugent D. , Mandroiu D. ,
  • 68', Byrne J. , McEneff A. ,
  • 68', Burke G. , Watts D. ,
  • 69', Baggley B. , Breslin A. ,
  • 70', 4 - 0, Greene A. ,
  • 77', Kavanagh B. 🟨,
  • 80', Kavanagh B. , McLaughlin R. ,
  • 81', Power S. , Carty C. ,
  • 88', Hoare S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Shamrock Rovers
51.8%
Draw
27%
St Patricks Athletic
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.4% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50% 27.2% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.91)
    3.44
    (3.47)
    4.43
    (4.13)
    6.9%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: Shamrock Rovers will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.15%97.75%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shamrock Rovers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 1.
    • Shamrock is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • St Patricks has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Shamrock: Cleary D. (Injury) Kavanagh S. (Knock)
    • There will not play in St Patricks: Forrester C. (Injury) Palmer R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Robertson S. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in St Patricks: Leavy K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:14. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
    18.04.2025 St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers 2:2
    07.03.2025 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 1:0
    27.09.2024 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 0:3
    13.06.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Shamrock Rovers 2:1
    10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers - St Patricks Athletic 2:2
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers19106333:161736
    2Drogheda1979325:19630
    3Bohemians18100821:19230
    4St. Patricks1985626:22429
    5Shelbourne1969422:20227
    6Derry City1883722:21127
    7Galway1866621:21024
    8Waterford1872920:30-1023
    9Cork City1827921:31-1013
    10Sligo Rovers18331222:34-1212

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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