Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
0:0
17/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Aslam U. (Nor)
Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
03
Corner Kicks
15
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
217
Shots on target
03
Shots off target
213
Blocked Shots
01
Corner Kicks
15
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
189
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
819
Goalkeeper Saves
30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Tobias V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Eguinaldo , Shved M. ,
  • 55', Tobias V. , Gocholeishvili G. ,
  • 58', Popovitch A. , Veteli J. ,
  • 58', Ulundu V. , Jukkola O. ,
  • 68', Bondarenko A. , Sudakov G. ,
  • 68', Traore L. , Kaua Elias ,
  • 68', Stjopin M. , Akinyemi A. ,
  • 68', Aspegren F. , Tiitinen O. ,
  • 70', Jukkola O. 🟨,
  • 81', Pedrinho , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 83', Kanga J. , Soderback M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ilves
15%
Draw
20.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 22% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 21.3% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves's form might have worsened.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.33
    (4.2)
    4.59
    (4.22)
    1.45
    (1.65)
    6.8%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Ilves will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 61.5%95.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-6. 2nd leg.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ilves won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    Latest results of Ilves
    14.07.2025 Ilves - VPS Vaasa 3:2
    10.07.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves 6:0
    05.07.2025 SJK - Ilves 1:1
    02.07.2025 Ilves - KTP Kotka 2:1
    28.06.2025 Haka - Ilves 0:4
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Ilves - Shakhtar Donetsk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandIlves TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineUPL TV
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