Shakhtar Donetsk vs Brest: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Champions League Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest
Result
2:0
22/01/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.950.43
Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
910
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
35
Blocked Shots
11
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
34
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1117
Offsides
20
Fouls
1711
Yellow Cards
11
Throw-ins
814
Touches in the Opposition Box
1615
Passes
85% (379/448)82% (407/497)
Passes in the final third
79% (59/75)64% (109/169)
Crosses
9% (1/11)14% (3/21)
Tackles
60% (9/15)61% (11/18)
Clearances Total
4015
Interceptions
84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Kevin ,
  • 22', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 37', 2 - 0, Sudakov G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Eguinaldo , Traore L. ,
  • 60', Ajorque L. , Sima A. ,
  • 60', Camara M. , Del Castillo R. ,
  • 60', Doumbia K. , Faivre R. ,
  • 71', Marlon Gomes , Stepanenko T. ,
  • 71', Tobias V. , Konoplya Y. ,
  • 71', Balde M. , Salah I. ,
  • 77', Stepanenko T. 🟨,
  • 83', Pedrinho , Zubkov O. ,
  • 83', Sudakov G. , Bondarenko A. ,
  • 85', Fernandes E. , Coulibaly S. ,

Chances of winning


Shakhtar Donetsk
34.3%
Draw
28.5%
Brest
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 27.9% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 29.7% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (2.52)
    3.35
    (3.44)
    2.56
    (2.82)
    4.9%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 17 - 27.4%). Brest will win (votes: 30 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 24.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 36%60.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Veltins Arena.
    • Shakhtar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Brest is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Brest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Henrique P. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Brest: Amavi J. (Hamstring Injury) Coulibaly S. (Groin Injury) Haidara M. (Calf Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Yellow Cards) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martin J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brest: Faivre R. (Illness) Lees-Melou P. (Calf Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Latest results of Brest
    18.01.2025 Rennes - Brest 1:2
    15.01.2025 Brest - Nantes 2:1
    11.01.2025 Brest - Lyon 2:1
    05.01.2025 Angers - Brest 2:0
    21.12.2024 La Roche VF - Brest 0:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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