Al-Wahda vs Shabab Al-Ahli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/04/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Nahyan Stadium (Abu Dhabi).

: UAE League - Round 16

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.85
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
75% (201/268)	81% (269/334)
Yellow Cards
5	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18	1.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.03	1.98
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
6	4
Shots inside the Box
9	8
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
21	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
16	17
Passes
75% (201/268)	81% (269/334)
Long passes
27% (11/41)	44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
52% (35/67)	68% (89/130)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	50% (9/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	1.01
Throw-ins
11	16
Fouls
17	16
Tackles
54% (7/13)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
56	49
Clearances
26	25
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.98	1.03
Goals prevented
-0.02	-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Agudelo K. ⚽, Kruspzky F. (A),
15', Cartabia F. (Pen),
35', Nourollahi A. 🟨,
40', 2 - 0, Ivkovic S. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Ezatolahi S. ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mateus Henrique ↓, Abaelaziz B. ↑,
46', Suhail H. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
46', Dabbur M. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Azmoun S. ⚽, Milivojevic L. (A),
63', Gomes I. 🟨,
68', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Breno ↑,
69', Kruspzky F. 🟨,
70', Zouhir A. 🟨,
70', Guilherme 🟨,
72', Jadsom ↓, Hamad A. ↑,
73', Agudelo K. ↓, Diarra B. ↑,
77', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
84', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
90+2', Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 🟨,
90+4', Nourollahi A. ↓, Erkinov K. ↑,
90+5', Ghorbani M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Wahda
29.6%

Draw
26.8%

Shabab Al-Ahli
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

27.8%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

26.9%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Wahda's performance.

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shabab Al-Ahli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Wahda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Al-Ahli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↓ (4.24)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	2.12 ↑ (1.85)	8.1% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Wahda won 0.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Al-Wahda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Shabab Al-Ahli will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Wahda won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22:34 (average 1.1:1.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.1:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wahda won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al-Wahda has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Wahda?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

22.09.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda 5:4

29.03.2024 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:3

29.09.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda 3:1

27.07.2023 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Wahda 2:0

10.02.2023 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1

Latest results of Al-Wahda

22.04.2025 Al Urooba - Al-Wahda 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Al Wasl - Al-Wahda 2:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Wahda 0:1 ✺

27.02.2025 Al-Wahda - Al Ain 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

23.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan 4:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2 ✺

07.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:1 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	26	19	6	1	57:22	35	63
2	Al Sharjah	26	16	3	7	44:22	22	51
3	Al Wahda	26	13	9	4	51:32	19	48
4	Al Wasl	26	13	7	6	51:35	16	46
5	Al Ain	26	12	8	6	56:32	24	44
6	Al Nasr	26	11	5	10	45:45	0	38
7	Al Jazira	26	10	7	9	45:40	5	37
8	Khorfakkan	26	9	6	11	41:52	-11	33
9	Ittihad Kalba	26	8	8	10	39:38	1	32
10	Ajman	26	9	4	13	40:46	-6	31
11	Al Bataeh	26	7	6	13	30:45	-15	27
12	Bani Yas	26	7	6	13	30:53	-23	27
13	Dibba Al Hisn	26	4	4	18	29:56	-27	16
14	Al Urooba	26	4	1	21	24:64	-40	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Triller TV+