Al-Nasr vs Shabab Al-Ahli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/09/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

: UAE League - Round 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	1.83
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
2	4
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
79% (240/304)	83% (323/388)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01	1.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	1.18
Total shots
8	18
Shots on target
2	4
Shots off target
3	9
Blocked Shots
3	5
Shots inside the Box
6	12
Shots outside the Box
2	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
15	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	18
Passes
79% (240/304)	83% (323/388)
Long passes
43% (20/46)	67% (32/48)
Passes in final third
64% (47/74)	68% (89/130)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	1.29
Throw-ins
19	30
Fouls
18	8
Tackles
64% (14/22)	57% (12/21)
Duels won
48	61
Clearances
33	11
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.18	0.58
Goals prevented
0.18	0.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Alvarez G. 🟨,
26', Kauan Santos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alvarez G. ↓, Maksimovic N. ↑,
50', Milivojevic L. 🟨,
58', Mensah B. 🟨,
59', Amzar C. ↓, Idrees A. ↑,
59', Santos J. ↓, Azarkan M. ↑,
66', Kauan Santos ↓, Rikelme ↑,
77', Yuri Cesar ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
78', Gomes I. 🟨,
79', Agudelo K. 🟨,
84', Dabbur M. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
86', Mierez R. ↓, Abdulbasit M. ↑,
89', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
90+2', Ezatolahi S. 🟨,
90+3', Gustavo Alemao 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Azmoun S. ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
27%

Draw
28.1%

Shabab Al-Ahli
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.8%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.87)	3.3 ↑ (3.14)	2.07 ↑ (1.91)	7.7% (19%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 1.
Al-Nasr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shabab Al-Ahli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Al-Nasr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Shabab Al-Ahli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:39. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al-Nasr has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Nasr?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

13.05.2025 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1

05.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0

29.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 5:5

23.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0

01.05.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:3

Latest results of Al-Nasr

13.09.2025 Al-Jazira - Al-Nasr 0:0 ✺

05.09.2025 Al Bataeh - Al-Nasr 2:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh 0:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Al-Nasr - Ajman Club 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Ittihad Kalba - Al-Nasr 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

16.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Tractor Sazi 1:1 ✺

11.09.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Bani Yas 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Dhafra 2:0 ✺

27.07.2025 Mallorca - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	5	4	1	0	10:4	6	13
2	Al Wahda	5	3	2	0	8:2	6	11
3	Ittihad Kalba	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
4	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	5	3	1	1	4:1	3	10
5	Al Wasl	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10
6	Al Dhafra	5	3	0	2	10:10	0	9
7	Ajman	5	3	0	2	3:3	0	9
8	Al Nasr	5	2	2	1	3:2	1	8
9	Al Jazira	5	2	1	2	7:4	3	7
10	Al Sharjah	5	1	1	3	6:7	-1	4
11	Khorfakkan	5	1	1	3	8:13	-5	4
12	Al Bataeh	5	1	0	4	4:8	-4	3
13	Dibba Al Fujairah	5	0	1	4	6:11	-5	1
14	Bani Yas	5	0	0	5	0:9	-9	0

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-arab-emirates	ADtv
World	Triller TV+