Al-Nasr vs Shabab Al-Ahli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

: UAE League - Round 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.38
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
4	20
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Passes
80% (296/368)	86% (371/431)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.67	0.48
Total shots
4	20
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	7
Blocked Shots
0	11
Shots inside the Box
4	13
Shots outside the Box
0	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Touches in opposition box
13	53
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	6
Passes
80% (296/368)	86% (371/431)
Long passes
44% (22/50)	72% (38/53)
Passes in final third
52% (33/63)	77% (133/173)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	24% (9/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	2.04
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
6	13
Tackles
50% (7/14)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
49	40
Clearances
37	17
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.48	1.67
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Ampofo E. ↓, Mattheus ↑,
54', Azarkan M. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Toure A. ⚽, Gustavo Alemao (A),
66', Mateusao ↓, Adil S. ↑,
66', Abaelaziz B. ↓, Rikelme ↑,
67', Idrees A. ↓, Omer R. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Dabbur M. ⚽, Adil S. (A),
77', Garcia D. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
78', Mateus Henrique ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
82', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
83', Ndiaye M. 🟥,
90+3', Boussaid O. ↓, Al Ameri Y. ↑,
90+4', Khamis S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
33.7%

Draw
25.5%

Shabab Al-Ahli
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

24%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

24.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+3%)

Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	2.28 ↑ (2.1)	7.5% (12.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shabab Al-Ahli will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Shabab Al-Ahli is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Shabab Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.
Shabab Al-Ahli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:41. (average 1.5:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 2:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al-Nasr has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Nasr?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

05.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0

29.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 5:5

23.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0

01.05.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:3

17.04.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:2

Latest results of Al-Nasr

03.05.2025 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 3:3 ✺

22.04.2025 Dibba Al-Hisn - Al-Nasr 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah 2:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr 2:2 ✺

27.03.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

09.05.2025 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan 4:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ain	2	2	0	0	5:3	2	6
2	Al Nasr	2	2	0	0	2:0	2	6
3	Al Wahda	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
4	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
5	Al Dhafra	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
6	Al Bataeh	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
7	Khorfakkan	2	1	0	1	4:4	0	3
8	Al Jazira	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
9	Ittihad Kalba	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
10	Al Sharjah	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
11	Al Wasl	2	1	0	1	3:3	0	3
12	Dibba Al Fujairah	2	0	0	2	3:6	-3	0
13	Ajman	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
14	Bani Yas	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Mexico	Claro Sports
United-arab-emirates	ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Pluto TV, Triller TV+