Al-Nasr vs Shabab Al-Ahli: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai).

: UAE League - Round 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.38
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
4	20
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Passes
80% (296/368)	86% (371/431)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.57	1.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.67	0.48
Total shots
4	20
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	7
Blocked Shots
0	11
Shots inside the Box
4	13
Shots outside the Box
0	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	8
Touches in opposition box
13	53
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	6
Passes
80% (296/368)	86% (371/431)
Long passes
44% (22/50)	72% (38/53)
Passes in final third
52% (33/63)	77% (133/173)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	24% (9/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	2.04
Throw-ins
19	15
Fouls
6	13
Tackles
50% (7/14)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
49	40
Clearances
37	17
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.48	1.67
Goals prevented
-0.40	0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Ampofo E. ↓, Mattheus ↑,
54', Azarkan M. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Toure A. ⚽, Gustavo Alemao (A),
66', Mateusao ↓, Adil S. ↑,
66', Abaelaziz B. ↓, Rikelme ↑,
67', Idrees A. ↓, Omer R. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Dabbur M. ⚽, Adil S. (A),
77', Garcia D. ↓, Azmoun S. ↑,
78', Mateus Henrique ↓, Kauan Santos ↑,
82', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
83', Ndiaye M. 🟥,
90+3', Boussaid O. ↓, Al Ameri Y. ↑,
90+4', Khamis S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Nasr
33.7%

Draw
25.5%

Shabab Al-Ahli
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

24%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

24.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nasr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nasr than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+3%)

Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.65)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	2.28 ↑ (2.1)	7.5% (12.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli?

The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is Shabab Al-Ahli will win! (5 of 5 users predict this).

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Shabab Al-Ahli is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Shabab Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.
Shabab Al-Ahli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nasr won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:41. (average 1.5:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nasr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 2:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Nasr won against Shabab Al-Ahli?

Al-Nasr has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Nasr?

Shabab Al-Ahli has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:

05.01.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0

29.12.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 5:5

23.12.2024 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Nasr 2:0

01.05.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:3

17.04.2024 Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli 3:2

Latest results of Al-Nasr

03.05.2025 Khor Fakkan - Al-Nasr 3:3 ✺

22.04.2025 Dibba Al-Hisn - Al-Nasr 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Nasr - Al-Sharjah 2:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Wahda - Al-Nasr 2:2 ✺

27.03.2025 Al-Nasr - Al Bataeh 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli

09.05.2025 Al-Sharjah - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:2 ✺

03.05.2025 Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Al-Wahda - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:2 ✺

23.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Khor Fakkan 4:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai ✔	24	17	6	1	52:19	33	57
2	Al Sharjah	24	14	3	7	36:19	17	45
3	Al Wahda	24	12	8	4	46:29	17	44
4	Al Wasl	24	12	7	5	47:30	17	43
5	Al Ain	24	11	7	6	54:32	22	40
6	Al Jazira	24	10	6	8	42:36	6	36
7	Al Nasr	24	10	5	9	42:41	1	35
8	Khorfakkan	24	9	6	9	38:44	-6	33
9	Ittihad Kalba	24	8	7	9	35:33	2	31
10	Ajman	24	8	3	13	36:45	-9	27
11	Bani Yas	24	7	5	12	27:48	-21	26
12	Al Bataeh	24	6	6	12	26:41	-15	24
13	Dibba Al Hisn ✔	24	4	4	16	26:51	-25	16
14	Al Urooba ✔	24	3	1	20	21:60	-39	10

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Dibba Al Hisn is Relegated to Division 1
Al Urooba is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Nasr - Shabab Al-Ahli?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Mexico	Claro Sports
United-arab-emirates	ADtv, Dubai Sports 1
World	Pluto TV, Triller TV+