Valencia vs Sevilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia).

: LaLiga - Round 31
Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.75
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
82% (364/446)	86% (363/423)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
2.42	0.52
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
1	4
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
23	13
Through passes
17% (1/6)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
82% (364/446)	86% (363/423)
Long passes
30% (14/46)	56% (20/36)
Passes in final third
67% (76/114)	78% (97/125)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.28
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
59% (10/17)	61% (14/23)
Duels won
43	48
Clearances Total
22	41
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	5
xGOT faced
0.52	2.42
Goals prevented
0.52	1.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Guerra J. ⚽, Lopez D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guerra J. 🟨,
60', Sadiq U. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
66', Lokonga A. S. ↓, Niguez S. ↑,
66', Romero I. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
66', Peque ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
72', Salas K. 🟨,
73', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
74', Almeida A. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
74', Lopez D. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
79', Foulquier D. 🟨,
79', Carmona J. A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Gudelj N. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
81', Gaya J. 🟨,
87', Guerra J. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
87', Rioja L. ↓, Diakhaby M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Valencia
40.2%

Draw
31.3%

Sevilla
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.7%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.9%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Valencia - Sevilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)	3.04 ↓ (3.13)	3.38 ↑ (3.06)	4.4% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Valencia - Sevilla?

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 21 - 50%). Sevilla will win (votes: 8 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 31%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 34.9% – 65.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Valencia (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sevilla (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Valencia won 1.
Valencia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sevilla is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Valencia will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Valencia: Correia T. (Knee Injury) Ivan Jaime (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Injury) Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury) Vargas R. (Muscle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Valencia won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 18:21 (average 0.9:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Valencia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Valencia won against Sevilla?

Valencia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sevilla won against Valencia?

Sevilla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Valencia - Sevilla were as follows:

11.01.2025 Sevilla - Valencia 1:1

17.02.2024 Valencia - Sevilla 0:0

11.08.2023 Sevilla - Valencia 1:2

16.04.2023 Valencia - Sevilla 0:2

18.10.2022 Sevilla - Valencia 1:1

Latest results of Valencia

05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Girona - Valencia 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Valencia - Valladolid 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Osasuna - Valencia 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Sevilla

06.04.2025 Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺

30.03.2025 Betis - Sevilla 2:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Real Sociedad - Sevilla 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Sevilla - Mallorca 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102:39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78:38	40	84
3	Atl. Madrid	38	22	10	6	68:30	38	76
4	Ath Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54:29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71:51	20	70
6	Betis	38	16	12	10	57:50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59:57	2	55
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41:45	-4	52
9	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48:52	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35:44	-9	48
11	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35:46	-11	46
12	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44:54	-10	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34:39	-5	42
14	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40:51	-11	42
15	Alaves	38	10	12	16	38:48	-10	42
16	Girona	38	11	8	19	44:60	-16	41
17	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42:55	-13	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39:56	-17	40
19	Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40:61	-21	32
20	Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26:90	-64	16

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Which TV channels are streaming of Valencia - Sevilla?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+