Sevilla vs Barcelona: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Sevilla - Barcelona
Result
4:1
05/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)
Sevilla - Barcelona - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.792.10
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (205/265)85% (364/427)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
2.792.10
xG on target (xGOT)
3.461.62
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
1214
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
55
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3331
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
100
Free Kicks
918
Passes
77% (205/265)85% (364/427)
Long passes
49% (26/53)27% (7/26)
Passes in final third
62% (46/74)73% (91/124)
Crosses
38% (5/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.80
Throw-ins
1419
Fouls
189
Tackles
65% (13/20)47% (9/19)
Duels won
4256
Clearances
2115
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.623.46
Goals prevented
0.62-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. (Pen),
  • 16', Martin G. 🟨,
  • 20', Marcao 🟨,
  • 21', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Romero I. , Vargas R. (A),
  • 38', de Jong F. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 2 - 1, Rashford M. , Pedri (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Martin G. , Balde A. ,
  • 46', Araujo R. , Garcia E. ,
  • 50', Romero I. 🟨,
  • 61', Sow D. , Gudelj N. ,
  • 61', Romero I. , Adams A. ,
  • 69', Torres F. , Bardghji R. ,
  • 73', Vargas R. , Januzaj A. ,
  • 73', Mendy B. , Peque ,
  • 74', Januzaj A. 🟨,
  • 76', Lewandowski R. (Pen),
  • 81', Agoume L. 🟨,
  • 84', Rashford M. 🟨,
  • 88', de Jong F. , Christensen A. ,
  • 90', 3 - 1, Carmona J. A. , Agoume L. (A),
  • 90+3', Sanchez A. , Ejuke C. ,
  • 90+5', Peque 🟨,
  • 90+6', 4 - 1, Adams A. , Ejuke C. (A),

Chances of winning


Sevilla
18.7%
Draw
20%
Barcelona
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 18.4% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 17.6% 66.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Barcelona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Sevilla - Barcelona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.18
    (5.2)
    4.82
    (5.14)
    1.57
    (1.5)
    3.8%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Sevilla - Barcelona?
  • Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 8.1%). Barcelona will win (votes: 55 - 88.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 80.8%96.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Barcelona (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barcelona will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Barcelona is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Ankle Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Knee Injury) Lamine Yamal (Groin Injury) Lopez F. (Groin Injury) Raphinha (Thigh Injury) ter Stegen M. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sevilla: Januzaj A. (Ankle Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 15:51. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 0.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sevilla - Barcelona were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Sevilla - Barcelona 1:4
    20.10.2024 Barcelona - Sevilla 5:1
    26.05.2024 Sevilla - Barcelona 1:2
    29.09.2023 Barcelona - Sevilla 1:0
    05.02.2023 Barcelona - Sevilla 3:0
    Latest results of Sevilla
    28.09.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla 0:1
    23.09.2025 Sevilla - Villarreal 1:2
    12.09.2025 Sevilla - Elche 2:2
    30.08.2025 Girona - Sevilla 0:2
    Latest results of Barcelona
    28.09.2025 Barcelona - Real Sociedad 2:1
    25.09.2025 Real Oviedo - Barcelona 1:3
    21.09.2025 Barcelona - Getafe 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid870119:91021
    2Barcelona861122:91319
    3Villarreal851214:8616
    4Betis843113:8515
    5Atl. Madrid834115:10513
    6Sevilla841315:11413
    7Elche834111:9213
    8Ath Bilbao84139:9013
    9Espanyol833211:11012
    10Alaves83239:8111
    11Getafe83239:11-211
    12Osasuna83147:8-110
    13Levante822413:14-18
    14Rayo Vallecano82248:10-28
    15Valencia822410:14-48
    16Celta Vigo80627:10-36
    17R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    18Girona81345:17-126
    19Real Sociedad81257:12-55
    20Mallorca81257:13-65

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sevilla - Barcelona?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
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    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 3, TSN+
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    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
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    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
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    greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
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    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
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    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    madagascarMadagascarUpTV
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
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    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
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    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
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