Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla
Result
3:2
17/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 1
  • Referee: Hernandez F. ()
Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.88
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
78% (300/385)83% (392/474)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.840.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.74
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
82
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
2922
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
08
Free Kicks
118
Passes
78% (300/385)83% (392/474)
Long passes
25% (16/63)37% (20/54)
Passes in final third
58% (64/110)69% (71/103)
Crosses
19% (4/21)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.50
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
812
Tackles
80% (8/10)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
512
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
1.742.59
Goals prevented
-0.26-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Castrin 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Williams N. (Pen),
  • 37', Agoume L. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Sannadi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Idumbo S. , Ejuke C. ,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Lukebakio D. , Sanchez J. (A),
  • 67', Berenguer A. , Navarro R. ,
  • 67', Sannadi M. , Guruzeta G. ,
  • 71', Castrin , Januzaj A. ,
  • 72', 2 - 2, Agoume L. , Adams A. (A),
  • 78', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Vesga M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Navarro R. , Williams N. (A),
  • 82', Gudelj N. , Marcao ,
  • 83', Williams N. , Rego A. ,
  • 83', Areso J. , Gorosabel A. ,
  • 87', Sow D. , Romero I. ,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
64.5%
Draw
23.5%
Sevilla
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.2% 25.4% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 25.4% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletic Bilbao's performance.
  • Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.64)
    4.26
    (3.75)
    8.56
    (5.78)
    0.6%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla?
  • Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 39 - 78%). Sevilla will win (votes: 1 - 2%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 66.5%89.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
    • Athletic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Sevilla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sevilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Athletic has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Gomez U. (Muscle Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Muscle Injury) Sancet O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sevilla: Joan Jordan (Back Injury) Martinez R. (Hamstring Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sevilla: Bade L. (Calf Injury) Vargas R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Sevilla will win today's game, with odds of 5.89.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla 1:1
    19.05.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla 2:0
    04.01.2024 Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao 0:2
    08.10.2022 Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Sevilla
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    04.08.2025 Sevilla - Al-Qadisiya 2:2
    26.07.2025 Schalke 04 - Sevilla 2:4
    19.07.2025 Sevilla - Sunderland 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid33006:159
    2Ath Bilbao33006:339
    3Villarreal32108:177
    4Barcelona32107:347
    5Espanyol32105:327
    6Getafe32014:406
    7Elche31204:225
    8Betis41214:405
    9Valencia31114:224
    10Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    11Alaves31113:304
    12Sevilla31025:503
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo31021:5-43
    16Real Sociedad30213:4-12
    17Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Maximo 3
    andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
    austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
    bangladeshBangladeshBegin
    belarusBelarusOkko Sport
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
    israelIsraelONE Sport
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 2
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
    russiaRussiaMatch TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
    swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport, S Sport+
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15
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