Lugo vs Sestao: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Lugo - Sestao
Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
Lugo - Sestao - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
98
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
43
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Yellow Cards
04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Zoilo A. ,
  • 31', Samperio J. , Cordoba A. ,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 1, Garai G. ,
  • 65', Ochoa M. , Perero G. ,
  • 72', Etxaniz J. , Martinez Ortiz L. ,
  • 72', Alvarez J. , Etxeberria M. ,
  • 72', Bustillo M. , Relu ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 78', Martinez G. , Miranda A. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Cabo J. ,
  • 81', Reniero N. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 90', Hernandez R. , Vaquero ,
  • 90', Martinez R. , Pereira P. ,
  • 90+3', Garcia S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lugo
46.9%
Draw
31.4%
Sestao
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 31.4% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 30.1% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.
  • Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lugo - Sestao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.26)
    2.93
    (2.89)
    4.21
    (3.18)
    8.9%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Lugo is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Sestao were as follows:
    02.10.2024 Lugo - Sestao 0:1
    08.09.2024 Sestao - Lugo 0:1
    24.03.2024 Lugo - Sestao 4:3
    02.12.2023 Sestao - Lugo 0:1
    Latest results of Lugo
    09.02.2025 FC Andorra - Lugo 2:0
    02.02.2025 Lugo - Osasuna B 3:1
    19.01.2025 Lugo - Leonesa 1:4
    11.01.2025 Ourense CF - Lugo 2:1
    Latest results of Sestao
    08.02.2025 Sestao - Zamora 1:1
    01.02.2025 Sestao - Leonesa 1:1
    25.01.2025 Athletic Bilbao B - Sestao 2:0
    11.01.2025 Ponferradina - Sestao 1:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponferradina11003:033
    2Tenerife11002:023
    3Racing Club Ferrol11002:113
    4Real Madrid B11002:113
    5Arenas Getxo11002:113
    6Merida AD11001:013
    7Osasuna B11001:013
    8Pontevedra10101:101
    9Cacereno10101:101
    10Ath Bilbao B10100:001
    11Zamora10100:001
    12Celta Vigo B10100:001
    13Ourense CF10100:001
    14CF Talavera10011:2-10
    15Lugo10011:2-10
    16Arenteiro10011:2-10
    17Barakaldo10010:1-10
    18Unionistas10010:1-10
    19Guadalajara10010:2-20
    20Real Aviles10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Lugo - Sestao?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainFEF TV, TVG 2
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