Porto Vitória vs Serra: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba Porto Vitória - Serra
Result
2:1
21/02/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: CAPIXABA - ROUND 8
Porto Vitória - Serra - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Porto Vitória
50.1%
Draw
27%
Serra
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.7% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 25.6% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto Vitória's form might have worsened.
  • Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto Vitória, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Porto Vitória - Serra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.64)
    3.35
    (3.4)
    3.96
    (5.1)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
    • Porto Vitória is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Recent matches Porto Vitória is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Serra is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Porto Vitória is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Porto Vitória won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto Vitória - Serra were as follows:
    03.03.2023 Serra - Porto Vitória 1:1
    Latest results of Porto Vitória
    Latest results of Serra
    16.02.2024 Serra - Rio Branco-VN 0:1
    07.02.2024 Noroeste - Serra 5:1
    02.02.2024 Serra - Jaguare 5:0
    30.01.2024 Nova Venécia - Serra 1:1
    27.01.2024 Serra - Rio Branco AC ES 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Vilavelhense (8)2 : 1, 4 : 1
    2Capixaba SC (4)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Rio Branco-VN (3)Vitoria ES (6)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Real Noroeste (2)Porto Vitoria (7)1 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Desportiva Ferroviaria (1)Rio Branco ES (5)0 : 1, 2 : 2
    2Vitoria ES (6)Porto Vitoria (7)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Rio Branco ES (5)Porto Vitoria (7)2 : 0, 0 : 1
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