Santa Cruz Recife vs Sergipe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe
Result
3:1 penalties
09/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
53
Total shots
108
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
54
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Thiago Galhardo ,
  • 64', 2 - 1, Felipe Para ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Thiago Galhardo (Pen),
  • 1, Felipe Para (Pen),
  • 2, Ariel (Pen),
  • 2, Matheus Sacramento (Pen),
  • 3, Renato (Pen),
  • 3, Ericeon (Pen),
  • 4, Eurico (Pen),
  • 4, Luan (Pen),
  • 5, Thiaguinho (Pen),
  • 5, Jeferson (Pen),
  • 6, Pedro Favela (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),
  • 7, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Santa Cruz Recife
62%
Draw
24.4%
Sergipe
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 23.6% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 22.2% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.54)
    3.72
    (3.85)
    6.69
    (5.31)
    10.1%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Santa Cruz is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Cruz Recife - Sergipe were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Sergipe - Santa Cruz Recife 2:1
    Latest results of Santa Cruz Recife
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira
    4CianorteBarra FC
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