Sergipe vs Penedense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie D Sergipe - Penedense
Result
2:0
28/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 10
Sergipe - Penedense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
112
Corner Kicks
23
Total shots
176
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
23
Goalkeeper Saves
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+6', 1 - 0, Junior Sergipano ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 2 - 0, Reny Max ,

Chances of winning


Sergipe
59.4%
Draw
24.9%
Penedense
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 24.6% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 23.8% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sergipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergipe's performance.
  • Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penedense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penedense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sergipe - Penedense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.68)
    3.64
    (3.65)
    5.78
    (4.1)
    10.3%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sergipe - Penedense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sergipe (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).
    • Sergipe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Penedense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Sergipe is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sergipe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sergipe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sergipe - Penedense were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Penedense - Sergipe 0:1
    29.12.2024 Sergipe - Penedense 0:0
    Latest results of Sergipe
    Latest results of Penedense
    15.06.2025 Penedense - Juazeirense 0:0
    08.06.2025 Jequié - Penedense 0:0
    01.06.2025 Penedense - Jequié 2:4
    24.05.2025 Juazeirense - Penedense 1:0
    18.05.2025 Penedense - Sergipe 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao
    2America RNImperatriz
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES
    7MixtoCianorte
    8Barra FCCeilandia
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